“情境—表达—结局”框架下中国减排政策变迁与反思——以“五年规划”为线索的文本挖掘

发布时间：2018-03-27 10:25

  本文选题：减排政策　切入点：政策情境　出处：《科技进步与对策》2016年20期

【摘要】：为分析改革开放以来中国减排政策的变化特征及趋势,构建了"情境-表达-结局"的分析框架,对1981-2015年7个"五年规划"及减排政策进行文本挖掘。研究结果表明:中国减排政策变迁历程基本符合"情境—表达—结局"的一般规律;对污染物排放的情境认知、政策表达及结局存在相对时间延滞;原有排放情境尚未根本改变,新的情境又陆续叠加,增加了环境治理压力。因此,既应正视"情境-表达-结局"的客观性,又应努力提升政策的前瞻性和预见性。
[Abstract]:As the variation characteristics and trend of China emission reduction policy since the reform and opening up, the construction of an analytical framework of "situation - expression - ending" for 1981-2015 years, the 7 "Five Year Plan" and the emission reduction policy for text mining. The results show that: China emission reduction policies consistent with changes in the course of "general rule of situation - expression - ending"; in the situated cognition of pollutant discharge, and the end of policy expression relative time delay; the original emission situation has not been fundamentally changed, the new situation has been superimposed, increased environmental governance pressures. Therefore, it should be considered "situation is the objectivity of expression - ending", and strive to enhance the policy should be forward-looking and predictable.

【作者单位】： 中国石油大学(华东)能源法律与政策研究中心;中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院;上海大学悉尼工商学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(15BZZ051) 山东省软科学项目(2013RKE28003) 中国石油大学(华东)科研基金项目(W131140W)
【分类号】：X321
，

本文编号：1671116