基于历史累计碳排放视角的碳排放公平性研究

发布时间：2018-06-18 02:11

本文选题：碳排放 + 代际公平　；参考：《中国人口·资源与环境》2016年S1期

【摘要】：以1901-2005年作为历史碳排放研究时间段,基于历史累计碳排放视角,重新定义了碳排放公平中的洛伦兹曲线和基尼系数,同时利用全球132个国家的人口、GDP和碳排放数据对历史代际和代内碳排放公平性进行分析。研究结果表明,历史碳排放基于GDP和人口的Gini系数值均小于0.2,属于基尼系数公平判断标准的"绝对公平",同时代际的单位GDP碳排放呈下降趋势,人均碳排放呈上升趋势。历史11代的碳排放Gini系数基本都超过了0.4的警戒值,碳排放在代内的分配非常不公平,尤其是基于人口分配;随着代的增加,各代基于GDP和人口的碳排放的Gini系数值逐渐下降,说明分配不公平程度随着代的增加得到改善。
[Abstract]:Based on the perspective of historical cumulative carbon emissions, the Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient in carbon emission equity are redefined based on the historical carbon emissions study period from 1901-2005. At the same time, the global GDP and carbon emissions data of 132 countries are used to analyze the historical intergenerational and intra-generational carbon emissions equity. The results show that the Gini coefficient of historical carbon emissions based on GDP and population is less than 0.2, which belongs to the "absolute fairness" criterion of Gini coefficient, while the carbon emissions per generation of GDP are decreasing, and the per capita carbon emissions are increasing. The Gini coefficient of carbon emissions of the past 11 generations has basically exceeded the warning value of 0.4, and the distribution of carbon emissions within generations is very unfair, especially based on population distribution, and the Gini coefficient of carbon emissions based on GDP and population decreases gradually with the increase of generations. It shows that the unfair degree of distribution is improved with the increase of generation.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学环境学院;中国21世纪议程管理中心;
【基金】：CDM基金项目地方科技系统干部队伍应对气候变化素材编写与培训(编号:2013049)
【分类号】：X321

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