环境库兹涅茨曲线视角下经济增长与环境污染的关系研究——以福建省为例

发布时间：2018-06-29 15:14

本文选题：经济新常态 + 经济增长　；参考：《福建论坛(人文社会科学版)》2016年09期

【摘要】：新常态背景下,对经济增长提出更多"质"的要求。文章基于环境库兹涅茨曲线的改进模型,利用1994—2014年数据研究福建经济增长与环境污染的关系。与以往结论不同,四类污染曲线都不因控制变量的加入而改变形状,但EKC拐点发生变化,这主要是污染指标选取不同和样本数据范围的原因,工业废水排放量和工业废气排放量呈倒N型曲线关系,工业二氧化硫排放量与人均GDP是四次多项式关系且呈波浪型曲线形状,工业固废产生量位于倒U型曲线的上升阶段,但已临近预测的EKC拐点。研究认为,福建经济与环境之间存在EKC特征,总体处于"双赢"阶段;EKC不是某种固定模式,而具有多种表现形态;环境污染不是简单的经济增长的负外部性结果,而是多种因素影响导致的综合性问题。
[Abstract]:Under the background of new normal, put forward more "qualitative" request to economic growth. Based on the improved model of environmental Kuznets curve, the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution in Fujian is studied by using the data from 1994 to 2014. Different from the previous conclusions, the four pollution curves do not change shape due to the addition of control variables, but the EKC inflection points change, which is mainly due to the different selection of pollution indicators and the range of sample data. The relationship between industrial waste water discharge and industrial waste gas discharge is inversely N-shaped. The relationship between industrial sulfur dioxide discharge and GDP per capita is a fourth-order polynomial and a wavy curve. The production of industrial solid waste is in the ascending stage of the inverted U-shaped curve. But it is near the predicted EKC inflection point. The study shows that there are EKC characteristics between economy and environment in Fujian Province, and that EKC is not a fixed mode, but has a variety of forms, and that environmental pollution is not a negative externality result of simple economic growth. It is a comprehensive problem caused by many factors.
【作者单位】：福州大学民建经济研究院;福州大学经济与管理学院;
【分类号】：X22;F127

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