南北碳排放配额政策博弈分析与策略选择

发布时间：2018-06-30 11:00

本文选题：碳排放配额 + 博弈分析　；参考：《管理科学学报》2016年01期

【摘要】：在回顾碳减排政策演变的基础上,基于双变量(贸易比较优势和环境比较优势)、碳排放配额政策和不完全市场竞争假设,构建了两阶段的政府碳排放配额政策与企业碳减排水平选择的博弈模型,应用逆向求解法得到了均衡解;进而考虑激励相容条件和参与约束条件,得到全局稳定均衡最优解及其条件,从福利、贸易、环境效应等多个角度分析比较了南北国家碳排放许可证政策、碳排放配额许可交易政策和许可交易碳排放权合作政策的选择条件.结果表明:从改善福利来看,碳排放配额许可交易市场能够促进资源在国家间的有效配置、实现Pareto改进;从改善环境来看,许可交易碳排放权合作政策最好,碳排放许可证政策最差;从改善贸易来看,三种政策难分伯仲,但许可交易碳排放权合作政策更有利于北方国家,碳排放配额许可交易政策更有利于南方国家.三种政策均不可能实现环境和贸易同时改善,短期内南方国家仍会优先选择碳排放配额许可交易政策,发达国家试图短期内实现全球环境政策合作还不够现实,应本着更为务实的原则积极稳妥、循序渐进的方式来推进环境合作.
[Abstract]:On the basis of a review of the evolution of carbon abatement policies, based on bivariate (comparative advantage in trade and comparative advantage in environment), carbon emission quota policies and the assumption of incomplete market competition, A game model between government carbon emission quota policy and enterprise carbon emission reduction level is established, and the equilibrium solution is obtained by using reverse solution method, and then the incentive compatibility condition and participation constraint condition are considered. The global stable equilibrium optimal solution and its conditions are obtained. From the perspectives of welfare, trade and environmental effects, the carbon emission permit policies of the North and South countries are analyzed and compared. The selection conditions of the license trading policy of carbon emission quota and the cooperative policy of carbon emission right. The results show that: from the perspective of improving welfare, the carbon emission quota licensing market can promote the efficient allocation of resources among countries and achieve Pareto improvement, and from the point of view of improving the environment, the cooperative policy of carbon emission rights for licensing trading is the best. Carbon permits are the worst; in terms of improving trade, the three policies are hard to distinguish, but the cooperative policy on permits to trade carbon emissions is more favourable to countries in the North and permits to trade carbon emissions quotas in favour of countries in the South. None of the three policies is likely to achieve simultaneous improvement in both environment and trade. In the short term, countries in the South will still give priority to carbon emissions quota licensing and trading policies. It is not realistic for developed countries to try to achieve global environmental policy cooperation in the short term. Environmental cooperation should be promoted in a more pragmatic and steady and progressive manner.
【作者单位】：暨南大学资源环境与可持续发展研究所;暨南大学经济学院;广东金融学院工商管理系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71273114)
【分类号】：X321

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