基于多区域人群的上海公交走廊出行行为

发布时间：2018-01-13 20:15

本文关键词：基于多区域人群的上海公交走廊出行行为　出处：《同济大学学报(自然科学版)》2016年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于上海市公共交通走廊内的乘客出行调查,利用离散选择理论,建立了现状调查/假设意愿调查(RP/SP)融合数据的Nested Logit模型.通过模型参数标定、敏感性分析从定性、定量两个角度研究了在城市公交走廊内,来自不同区域的出行者对于公共交通方式的出行行为及影响因素;在此基础上,分析了模型在不同空间范围内的转移适用性;最后,通过算例进行分析和验证.通过研究可知,在城市公交走廊内,影响出行者选择行为的因素不尽相同,其区域差异性不容忽视;其次,不同区域的出行者对于各公交方式的偏好存在较大差异;再次,不同区域的出行者在走廊内选择交通方式时,对于同一影响因素的敏感性有所不同.从数据获取、模型建立、标定分析及仿真验证四个步骤逐次展开,提出了针对不同区域出行者在城市公交走廊选择行为的基本方法和必要性,对未来城市公共交通走廊的规划和改进提供新的思路和方向.
[Abstract]:The passenger travel survey of Shanghai city public transportation corridor based on discrete choice theory, a survey / hypothesis Survey (RP/SP) Nested Logit model data fusion. Through the calibration of model parameters, sensitivity analysis from two angles of qualitative, quantitative research on the city bus corridor, from different regions of the factors of travel for the behaviors of public transportation and influence; on this basis, analysis of the transfer model applicability in different spatial scope; finally, analyzed and verified by an example. The research results show that, in the city transit corridor, influence factors of the choice behaviour of travellers is not the same, the regional differences can not be ignored; secondly, different regions of the differences for each mode of transportation to his preference; thirdly, different regions of the traveler's choice of transport modes in the corridor, for the same Sensitivity of the influence factors are different. From the data acquisition, calibration model, analysis and Simulation of four steps of successive expansion, put forward in the different regions and the necessity of basic methods behaviors in the city bus corridor, on the future of city public transport to go provides a new idea and direction corridor planning and improvement.

【作者单位】：同济大学交通运输工程学院;
【分类号】：U491.17
【正文快照】： 中国大型城市在过去20年保持极高的发展速度,以上海为例,其年均国民生产总值(GDP)增速均超过8%,这一趋势在未来相当长的时间内可能将保持下去.这直接导致城市中人们的出行活动大幅增加,但相应的交通设施及政策往往难以与之匹配,这一问题在城市公共交通走廊往往更加凸显.所谓公

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