日本大阪都市圈居民的年龄、居住位置与家庭生命周期对小汽车使用与保有的影响（英文）

发布时间：2018-01-24 21:29

  本文关键词： 城市小汽车交通 家庭生命周期 城市结构变化 联立方程模型　出处：《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》2014年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：研究目的:探究城市居民小汽车交通行为变化的原因有多少来自人口统计特性的变化,有多少来自城市结构的改变。创新要点:考虑家庭成员的生活任务分工以及家庭资源的分配等对每个家庭成员出行方式的影响,构建基于家庭生命周期的小汽车出行行为模型,为控制小汽车出行对策的研究提供准确依据。研究方法:采用调查与统计理论,掌握居民的出行行为特征;基于经济计量学建模方法,构建居民小汽车出行行为联立方程模型。重要结论:城市结构关系的改变在抵消了人口统计特性的变化对小汽车交通产生的负面影响之后,小汽车交通总体呈上升趋势。
[Abstract]:Objective: to explore the reasons for the change of urban residents' car traffic behavior from the change of demographic characteristics. How much it comes from the change of urban structure. Innovation points: consider the family members of the division of life tasks and the allocation of family resources on the impact of each family member travel mode. Constructing the car travel behavior model based on the family life cycle provides the accurate basis for the study of the car trip control strategy. The research method: using the investigation and statistics theory to master the travel behavior characteristics of the residents; Based on econometric modeling. The important conclusion is that the change of the urban structure relationship has counteracted the negative influence of the change of the demographic characteristics on the car traffic. Car traffic is on the rise in general.
【作者单位】： Department
【基金】：Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation ofChina(No.51308495) the Fundamental Research Funds for theCentral Universities(No.2013QNA4027),China
【分类号】：U491
【正文快照】： 1 IntroductionSome parts of the world are in the midst of amajor demographic transition.Not only is populationgrowth slowing,but the age structure of the popula-tion is changing,with the share of the young fallingand that of the elderly rising(Kitamura a，

本文编号：1461068