基于ISM和AHP的建设海上丝绸之路影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-01-29 12:15

本文关键词： 海上丝绸之路影响因素解释结构模型(ISM) 层次分析法(AHP)　出处：《工业技术经济》2014年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：海上丝绸之路的建设受到多种因素影响,这些因素涉及领域广泛且关系复杂。为厘清因素之间的层级关系和影响力排序,为决策者有重点地制定海上丝绸之路建设方案提供参考依据,本文从基础条件、政治外交条件、经济条件、安全条件、保障条件等7个方面构建海上丝绸之路建设的影响因素指标体系。采用解释结构模型(ISM)分析得到由表层直接影响因素、中间层间接影响因素和深层根本影响因素组成的3级多层递阶ISM,然后利用层次分析法(AHP)确定表层影响因素的权重排序。结果表明:ISM能有效地建立海上丝绸之路建设的影响因素层级结构,可以直观地反映出因素间的层次关系;AHP法可以识别影响海上丝绸之路建设的关键和重点因素,包括专门的管理组织机构完善程度、跨国港口间通关便利性、集疏运网络完善程度。
[Abstract]:The construction of the maritime silk road is affected by many factors, these factors involved in the field of extensive and complex relationship. For the hierarchical relationship and influence factors between clarify sorting for decision makers to focus on the development of Maritime Silk Road construction plan to provide reference, this article from the basic conditions, political conditions, economic conditions, safety conditions, index the system factors affecting the construction of Maritime Silk Road Construction in 7 aspects such as security conditions. By using interpretative structural model (ISM) obtained from the surface direct factors, indirect factors middle layer and deep basic influence factors consisting of 3 level hierarchical ISM, then use the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to determine the weights of the influence factors of surface sorting. The results show that the hierarchical structure factors of ISM can effectively establish the maritime silk road construction, it can directly reflect the level of relationship between factors; AHP method You can identify the impact of the construction of the maritime Silk Road and the key factors, including the degree of perfection of the special management organization, international port customs clearance convenience, the transportation network degree of perfection.

【作者单位】：大连海事大学;
【基金】：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“保障我国海上通道安全研究”(项目编号:11JZD049)
【分类号】：F552;F224
【正文快照】： 引言十八届三中全会决定“推进丝绸之路经济带、海上丝绸之路建设,形成全方位开放新格局”,李克强在随后的政府工作报告提出“抓紧规划建设丝绸之路经济带和海上丝绸之路”。可见,“海上丝绸之路”建设问题已经上升到国家战略层面。“海上丝绸之路”古已有之,随着交通工具、交

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