自行车换乘轨道交通行为机理与模型研究

发布时间：2018-06-01 14:24

本文选题：BR + 自行车换乘轨道交通　；参考：《吉林大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国城市化进程的加快，出行距离和出行时耗增加的问题逐渐凸显。为了满足居民在出行中的快速高效需求，各大城市大力发展高速、大容量的轨道交通。轨道线路一般沿城市交通主干道修建，其可达性具有一定的局限性，在其直接影响范围之外的居民需通过其他交通工具到达轨道站点。随着可持续发展理念不断深入人心，学者们开始探索一种新的“绿色交通”模式——自行车换乘轨道交通模式。将自行车作为轨道交通的有效补充不仅能达到缩减换乘时耗的目的，还可提高轨道交通的可达性，扩大轨道交通影响范围。首先，本文在借鉴国内外BR模式研究现状的基础上，分别对自行车和轨道交通的优缺点、交通特性和时空特征进行分析，从提高出行效率、节约能源和缓解交通拥堵等方面来论述自行车与轨道交通组合出行的必要性。着重强调自行车换乘轨道交通模式的广义出行成本（时间成本、费用成本、舒适性成本），并标定这三个成本的感知系数，通过调查数据得出其权重比。通过对比使用自行车换乘与使用公共汽车换乘的广义出行成本，，从而确定自行车换乘轨道交通的客流吸引范围。其次，从可达性的视角定性和定量分析自行车换乘轨道交通行为机理，其中可达性影响因素主要包括站点可达性、自行车方式可达性及换乘设施资源可达程度。建立基于因子分析的换乘机理模型，进一步定量解析居民的换乘行为。将自行车与轨道交通的换乘过程分解为自行车出行部分和存车换乘部分，提取因子分析过程中的重要影响因素作为模型的特征变量，建立自行车换乘轨道交通转移概率模型。最后，以长春市轻轨3号线为实例，对其中5个站点进行数据调查，应用自行车换乘轨道交通机理模型和换乘转移概率模型分析个体属性、出行属性、站点可达属性、自行车感知收益属性、换乘设施资源可达属性之间的关联性，并预测这5个站点的自行车换乘转移概率和换乘量，对临河街、世纪广场、东北师大和长影世纪城这4个站点建议设置自行车停车场，并依据各个站点实际情况对停车场规模和停车场与站点的衔接方式提出建议。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the urbanization process in China, the problem of travel distance and travel time consumption increases gradually. In order to meet the rapid and efficient demand of the residents in the trip, the large cities are vigorously developing high speed and large capacity rail transit. The track lines are generally built along the main road of urban traffic, and the accessibility has certain limitations and is directly related to its accessibility. With the concept of sustainable development being deeply rooted in the hearts of the people, scholars have begun to explore a new "green traffic" model, bicycle transfer mode. The effective supplement of bicycle as a rail transit can not only reduce the consumption of transfer. The purpose is to increase the accessibility of rail transit and expand the scope of rail traffic.
First, on the basis of the research status of BR model at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the advantages and disadvantages, traffic characteristics and space-time characteristics of bicycles and rail traffic respectively. From the aspects of improving travel efficiency, saving energy and alleviating traffic congestion, this paper discusses the necessity of combining bicycles with track traffic and other aspects. The emphasis is placed on bicycle transfer. The generalized travel cost (time cost, cost cost and comfort cost) of the rail transit model, and calibrate the perception coefficient of the three costs, and obtain the weight ratio by the survey data. By comparing the generalized trip costs of the bicycle transfer and the use of bus transfer, the passenger flow attraction of the bicycle transfer rail transit is determined. Circumference.
Secondly, from the perspective of accessibility, the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the behavior mechanism of the bicycle transfer rail transit is qualitative and quantitative, among which the accessibility factors mainly include accessibility, bicycle accessibility and transfer facility resource accessibility. The transfer mechanism model based on factor analysis is established to further quantify the transfer behavior of residents. The transfer process of driving and rail transit is decomposed into the bicycle travel part and the transfer part of the car, and the important influence factors in the extraction factor analysis process are used as the characteristic variables of the model, and the transfer probability model of the bicycle transfer rail transit is established.
Finally, taking the 3 line of Changchun light rail as an example, 5 sites are investigated. The mechanism model of bicycle transfer and transfer probability model are used to analyze the individual attributes, travel properties, site accessibility attributes, bicycle perception income attributes, transfer and set of resources accessibility attributes, and predict the 5 stations. By changing the transfer probability and transfer amount of the bicycle, the bicycle parking lot is suggested to 4 sites in Linhe street, Century Square, northeastern Normal University and Changying Century City, and the parking lot size and the connection mode of parking lot and site are suggested according to the actual situation of each site.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：U12

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