基于水资源管理“三条红线”的水资源配置模式研究

发布时间：2018-06-16 02:20

本文选题：“三条红线” + 水资源配置模式　；参考：《太原理工大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：本文以山西阳泉平定县水资源为研究对象，以最严格水资源管理制度“三条红线”理论为指导，充分将理论与研究区实际情况相结合，，探索出了基于“三条红线”理论且具有实际应用价值的新的水资源优化配置模式。平定县虽然水资源总量丰富，但局部分布不均、重复利用率偏低、污水排放量大、地表水环境污染严重等问题比较突出，所以探索其水资源优化配置模式具有十分重要的意义。本文从最严格水资源管理制度的角度出发，研究探索基于“三条红线”的水资源供需分析、水体纳污能力分析及水资源配置模式，并以此新模式下的优化配置结果来指导该地区未来水资源管理的方向，最终达到提高水资源利用效率、缓解局部地区缺水及改善地表水环境质量的目标。本论文主要研究内容和成果有：（1）以纳污控制红线为约束，对该地区的水功能区纳污能力进行了分析预测；以用水效率控制为约束，选取定额法预测了2020、2030规划水平年需水量，并对平定县现状年及未来规划水平年需水情况进行了分析；以用水总量控制为约束，分析了2020、2030规划水平年各供水水源可供水量；并对未来规划水平年水资源供需平衡分析。（2）基于“三条红线”的水资源优化配置原则，建立了以社会、经济和水环境为效益目标的多目标水资源优化配置模型，并运用人工鱼群算法计算出了平定县2020、2030规划水平年各个方案下的水资源配置结果，并对结果进行了分析。（3）在各个方案水资源配置结果的基础上，制定了以用水总量控制、水资源利用效率控制及地表水功能区限制纳污为参考依据的决策评价指标，采用SE-DEA模型对不同配置方案进行综合评价，通过优先排序，探求最佳水资源配置方案，指明了该地区水资源管理的方向。
[Abstract]:This paper takes the water resources of Pingding County, Yangquan County, Shanxi Province as the research object, takes the "three Red Line" theory of the strictest water resources management system as the guidance, and fully combines the theory with the actual situation in the research area. A new model of optimal allocation of water resources based on the theory of "three red lines" and with practical application value is explored. Although the total amount of water resources in Pingding County is abundant, the local distribution is uneven, the reuse rate is on the low side, the discharge of sewage is large, and the surface water environment pollution is serious, so it is of great significance to explore the optimal allocation mode of water resources in Pingding County. From the point of view of the strictest water resources management system, this paper studies and explores the models of water resources supply and demand analysis, water pollution capacity analysis and water resources allocation based on "three red lines". The results of optimal allocation under the new model can guide the direction of future water resources management in this area, and finally achieve the goal of improving the efficiency of water resources utilization, alleviating water shortage in local areas and improving the quality of surface water environment. The main contents and achievements of this paper are as follows: (1) with the red line of water absorption control as the constraint, the capacity of water function area is analyzed and forecasted, and the control of water use efficiency is taken as the constraint. The quota method is selected to predict the annual water demand of the planning level of 2020202030, and the current and future planning levels of Pingding County are analyzed, and with the control of the total amount of water used as the constraint, the available water supply of each water source in the year of 2020202030 planning level is analyzed. Based on the principle of "three red lines", this paper establishes a multi-objective water resources optimal allocation model with social, economic and water environment as the benefit goal, and analyzes the balance of water resources supply and demand in the future planning level. By using artificial fish swarm algorithm, the results of water resources allocation under the planning level year of 202020 / 2030 in Pingding County are calculated, and the results are analyzed. 3) on the basis of the results of water resources allocation of each scheme, The decision evaluation indexes based on total water use control, water use efficiency control and surface water function area limitation are established. The SE-DEA model is used to comprehensively evaluate different allocation schemes. The best water resources allocation scheme is explored, and the direction of water resources management in this area is pointed out.
【学位授予单位】：太原理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TV213.4

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