河道治理工程项目经济风险因素评估研究

发布时间：2018-07-14 12:52

【摘要】：河道治理工程会对当地居民的生产、生活产生一定的经济风险,因此预估工程经济风险的风险等级对经济社会的恢复和稳定有重大意义。选取14个经济风险评估因素,以里下河地区河道治理工程为例,通过发放和统计经济风险等级调查表,将经济风险的发生概率和影响程度划分为5个等级,进而预估了河道治理工程中对经济社会产生重大影响的14个风险因素的等级。结果表明,里下河地区河道治理工程的经济风险等级总的来说是一般程度,而且有些风险因素对经济的影响程度甚微,发生较严重和严重经济风险的可能性较小。最后结合风险识别和风险评估结论,补充、优化和完善里下河洼地治理工程的风险防范和化解措施,进而在后期类似河道治理工程中,针对重点风险提出相关防范措施,对于恢复当地居民生活生产、维护工程区社会稳定和保障工程顺利进行有一定的现实意义。
[Abstract]:The river regulation project will produce certain economic risk to the production and life of the local residents, so it is of great significance to estimate the risk grade of the engineering economic risk for the recovery and stability of the economic society. Taking the river regulation project in Lixiahe area as an example, the probability and influence degree of economic risk are divided into 5 grades by issuing and statistics of economic risk grade questionnaire. Furthermore, the grade of 14 risk factors which have great influence on economy and society in river treatment project is estimated. The results show that the economic risk grade of river regulation project in Lixiahe area is general, and some risk factors have little influence on economy, and the probability of serious and serious economic risk is small. Finally, combined with the risk identification and risk assessment conclusions, to supplement, optimize and improve the Lixiahe depression control project risk prevention and resolution measures, and then in the later similar river treatment projects, to put forward the key risk prevention measures, It is of practical significance to restore local residents' life and production, to maintain social stability in the engineering area and to ensure the smooth progress of the project.
【作者单位】：河海大学;
【分类号】：F272.3;TV85

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