流域洪水资源利用的现状与潜力评估方法

发布时间：2018-10-30 08:30

【摘要】：评价洪水资源利用现状和潜力,是开展流域洪水资源利用,进而缓解水资源短缺矛盾的首要工作。本文认为流域洪水资源可利用量是洪水调控利用能力的函数,对应任何洪水调控利用能力的洪水资源均可划分为可利用量和不可利用量两部分;采用极限分析理论,推理分析流域洪水资源现状利用潜力、理论利用潜力和流域洪水资源现状可利用量、理论可利用量之间的数量关系,完善和统一了流域洪水资源利用的概念体系和评价方法。作为实例,评价了南四湖流域洪水资源利用现状和利用潜力,得出现状和理论可利用量分别为16.29~18.08亿m3、20.50~21.55亿m3,现状和理论利用潜力分别为2.66~3.86亿m3和6.78~7.33亿m3,指出现状洪水资源利用的阈值空间和未来挖掘方向,对流域洪水资源利用实践具有重要的参考价值。
[Abstract]:To evaluate the current situation and potential of flood resources utilization is the most important task for developing flood resources utilization and alleviating the contradiction of water resources shortage. In this paper, it is concluded that the available amount of flood resources is a function of the capacity of flood control and utilization, and the flood resources corresponding to any flood control and utilization capacity can be divided into two parts: available and unusable. By using the limit analysis theory, the paper deduces the relationship between the utilization potential of flood water resources in river basin, the quantity relationship between the theoretical utilization potential and the available quantity and the theoretical available quantity of the basin flood water resources. The concept system and evaluation method of flood resources utilization in river basin are perfected and unified. As an example, the utilization status and potential of flood resources in Nansihu Basin are evaluated. The results show that the current situation and theoretical availability are 16.29 ~ 1.808 billion m ~ 3 ~ 20.50 ~ 2.155 billion m ~ 3, respectively. The present situation and theoretical utilization potential are 2.66 ~ 386 million m ~ 3 and 6.78 ~ 733 million m ~ 3, respectively. It is pointed out that the threshold space and future excavation direction of current flood resources utilization are of important reference value to the practice of flood resources utilization in river basins.
【作者单位】：南京水利科学研究院水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室;山东省淮河流域水利管理局规划设计院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51279223,51109055) 水利部公益性行业专项经费项目资助(201201022,201301003)
【分类号】：TV213.4

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