中国制造业空间分布的异质性——基于GWR与分位数回归的分析

发布时间：2018-03-07 21:36

本文选题：制造业　切入点：空间异质性　出处：《经济问题探索》2016年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：Moran’s I指数和LISA指数的分析表明,中国制造业各主要指标在省域层面上都呈现出空间相关性,且相关密切程度和相关范围在逐步扩大;制造业空间地理加权生产函数表明,资本对制造业产出影响程度较大的地区主要集中在华北、东北,资本对产出影响程度较小的地区主要集中在华东和华南,劳动要素对制造业产出影响程度较大的区域集中在华东、华南和西南等人口密度普遍较大的地区;制造业分位数回归生产函数表明,在制造业发展水平较低的区域,资本要素对产出的影响远高于劳动要素而起着决定性作用,随着发展水平的逐步提高,资本要素对产出的影响在逐渐的减小而劳动要素对产出的影响在逐渐加大,在制造业发展水平较高的地区,劳动要素对制造业产出的影响反而高于资本要素。研究还发现,中国制造业在中等发达区域的规模经济效应明显,因此有向中部地区转移的内在要求。
[Abstract]:The analysis of Moran's I index and LISA index shows that the main indexes of Chinese manufacturing industry show spatial correlation at the provincial level, and the correlation degree and correlation range are gradually expanding, and the manufacturing industry spatial geographical weighted production function shows that, The areas where capital has a greater impact on manufacturing output are mainly concentrated in North China, Northeast China, and the areas where capital has less impact on output are mainly concentrated in East and South China. The regions where labor factors have a greater influence on manufacturing output are concentrated in the areas with large population density, such as East China, South China and Southwest China, and the manufacturing quantile regression production function shows that, in the regions with low manufacturing development level, The influence of capital factor on output is much higher than that of labor factor and plays a decisive role. With the improvement of development level, the influence of capital factor on output is decreasing gradually, and the influence of labor factor on output is gradually increasing. In the areas with higher manufacturing development level, the labor factor has higher impact on manufacturing output than capital factor. The study also found that the scale economy effect of Chinese manufacturing industry is obvious in the middle developed region. Therefore, there are internal requirements for the transfer to the central region.
【作者单位】：兰州财经大学;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“经济社会公共数据的空间统计样本数据开发及应用研究”(11&ZD157) 国家统计局统计科学研究重点项目“空间数据建模技术及其在我国居民消费分析中的应用”(2013LZ11) 甘肃省人文社科重点研究基地“甘肃经济发展数量分析研究中心”资助
【分类号】：F424;F224

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