奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目风险评估与控制研究

发布时间：2018-04-09 19:55

本文选题：风险识别　切入点：层次分析法　出处：《中国海洋大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：新能源汽车行业在进行工程建设项目建设时,面临这诸多方面的任务,同时也能够受到诸多因素的影响,如果不能完全解决这些问题,新能源汽车行业的工程建设项目将会遇到更多的麻烦,风险会对投资项目收益产生巨大的影响。所以系统深入地识别、评估工程建设项目的风险,可以对新能源汽车行业是否能够顺利投资,增加该行业的收益,将会产生积极的政策指导意义。为了让新能源汽车行业能够更好地开展工程项目的投资活动,同时,也可以给我国的新能源汽车行业投资工程建设项目时提供参考与借鉴。所以有必要对奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目进行风险评估与控制研究。本文首先归纳总结了奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目建设的背景及意义,国内外在风险管理方面的主要研究现状,并陈述了文章研究的内容、方法以及创新点,然后借助于项目风险评估理论基础及研究方法,包括研究理论有项目生命周期理论、信息不对称理论,评估方法有层次分析法和模糊综合评价法,为本文对奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目风险管理的分析提供理论依据,之后对奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目的建设条件、环境、必要性等进行简单介绍,分别采用了调查问卷法、财务报表分析法和情景分析法对山东奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目风险因素的识别分析,以在项目建设阶段所存在的经济风险、技术风险、环境风险、人力风险及管理风险等因素进行识别,针对识别出的山东奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目风险,采取了层次分析方法和模糊评价法来评价项目建设工程的风险管理,为各方面情况做出明确和可比较的分析结果,得出环境风险、经济风险和管理风险是该项目建设的主要风险,最后在项目风险因素识别的基础上,根据模糊综合评价的测算水平,得出山东奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目风险的控制策略。通过分析研究,文章在最后得出如下结论：将风险管理的理论知识应用到山东奥特姆新能源汽车工程建设项目评估分析当中,可以有效避免相关风险因素给项目带来的损失。针对经济风险、环境风险、管理风险、技术风险和人力风险因素,本文提出了相应的风险控制措施,从而使项目风险处于可控的范围内,为山东奥特姆新能源汽乍建设项目时能够有效控制风险,减少投资损失提供了参考和依据。而且为我国新能源汽车建设项目提供有益的借鉴。
[Abstract]:The new energy automobile industry is faced with many tasks in these aspects while carrying out construction projects, and can also be affected by many factors, if these problems cannot be solved completely.The construction projects of the new energy automobile industry will encounter more troubles, and the risk will have a huge impact on the return of investment projects.Therefore, to identify and evaluate the risks of construction projects in a systematic and in-depth way can provide positive policy guidance to whether the new energy automobile industry can invest smoothly and increase the income of the new energy industry.In order to enable the new energy automobile industry to better carry out the investment activities of the engineering projects, it can also provide reference and reference for the new energy automobile industry to invest in the construction projects in our country.Therefore, it is necessary to study the risk assessment and control of OTM new energy vehicle construction project.At first, this paper summarizes the background and significance of the construction of new energy vehicle engineering project, the main research status of risk management at home and abroad, and describes the contents, methods and innovation points of the article.Then, with the help of the theoretical basis and research methods of project risk assessment, including the theory of project life cycle, the theory of information asymmetry, the evaluation method has AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.This paper provides a theoretical basis for the analysis of the risk management of the new energy vehicle construction project, and then introduces the construction conditions, environment, necessity and so on of the new energy vehicle construction project.The questionnaire method, financial statement analysis method and scenario analysis method are used to identify and analyze the risk factors of the new energy automobile construction project in Shandong Province, in order to analyze the economic risk and technical risk in the construction stage of the project.The environmental risk, manpower risk and management risk are identified. In view of the identified risk of new energy automobile construction project in Shandong Province, the AHP method and fuzzy evaluation method are adopted to evaluate the risk management of the project construction project.It is concluded that the environmental risk, economic risk and management risk are the main risks in the construction of the project. Finally, based on the identification of the project risk factors,According to the level of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the risk control strategy of new energy automobile construction project in Otemu, Shandong province is obtained.Through the analysis and research, the paper draws the following conclusion: applying the theory knowledge of risk management to the evaluation and analysis of the new energy automobile construction project in Shandong province, we can effectively avoid the loss caused by the related risk factors.Aiming at the factors of economic risk, environmental risk, management risk, technical risk and manpower risk, this paper puts forward the corresponding risk control measures, so that the project risk can be controlled.It can effectively control the risk and reduce the investment loss during the construction of new energy energy in Shandong province.And for our new energy vehicle construction project to provide useful reference.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F416.471

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