工业结构与环境质量耦合优化情景模拟与策略——以宁蒙沿黄地带为例

发布时间：2018-04-20 11:23

本文选题：工业结构 + 环境污染　；参考：《生态经济》2016年01期

【摘要】：目的在于研究矿产资源依赖型地区工业发展与环境质量耦合优化方案与策略,以宁蒙沿黄地带为案例,通过构建环境—产业双向耦合优化模型,模拟了不同技术进步情景下工业结构与环境质量的互动变化趋势,预测实现区域经济发展和环境质量优化双重目标的最优工业结构,并由此提出协调发展策略。结果发现,技术进步对于矿产资源主导型优势产业的可持续发展与实现经济—环境协调发展目标起到了至关重要的作用。传统优势产业控制环境污染排放的能力过低,如果不进行较快的技术创新,在未来的发展过程中已不能实现区域产业发展和污染控制双重最优目标。如果较快地推进技术进步,区域能够继续依托优势矿产资源基础,实现产业发展和污染控制的双重最优目标。因此,实现工业结构与环境质量耦合优化的关键在于技术进步。如何推进传统资源密集型产业的技术创新是实现依赖能源原材料工业的地区可持续发展的策略所在。在生产管理上,需要加强工业污染源治理力度,完善环境保护与修复机制,同时要加强传统产业的技术改造,积极淘汰落后产能。在工业发展模式上,运用产业生态化理念重组工业经济结构,构建循环经济产业链,提高资源的加工深度与废弃物的资源化综合利用,推动产业体系的生态化发展。
[Abstract]:The purpose of this paper is to study the optimization scheme and strategy of the coupling between industrial development and environmental quality in mineral resource-dependent areas. Taking the Ning-Meng region along the Yellow River as an example, a bidirectional coupling optimization model of environment-industry is constructed. This paper simulates the interactive trend of industrial structure and environmental quality under different technological progress scenarios, forecasts the optimal industrial structure to achieve the dual goals of regional economic development and environmental quality optimization, and puts forward the coordinated development strategy. The results show that technological progress plays an important role in the sustainable development of mineral resource-oriented dominant industries and the realization of the goal of coordinated economic and environmental development. The ability of traditional superior industries to control environmental pollution emissions is too low. If the technology innovation is not carried out quickly, the dual optimal goals of regional industrial development and pollution control can not be realized in the future development process. If technological progress is promoted rapidly, the region can continue to rely on the superiority of mineral resources to achieve the dual optimal goals of industrial development and pollution control. Therefore, the key to realize the coupling optimization of industrial structure and environmental quality lies in technological progress. How to promote the technological innovation of traditional resource-intensive industries is the strategy to realize the sustainable development of energy-dependent raw materials industries. In production management, it is necessary to strengthen the treatment of industrial pollution sources, improve the environmental protection and repair mechanism, and strengthen the technical transformation of traditional industries, and actively eliminate backward production capacity. In the industrial development mode, the industrial economic structure should be reorganized by using the idea of industrial ecology, the industrial chain of circular economy should be constructed, the processing depth of resources and the comprehensive utilization of wastes should be improved, and the ecological development of industrial system should be promoted.
【作者单位】：清华大学公共管理学院;首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金“宁蒙沿黄地带城市化与环境耦合机理与调控研究”(41271556) 首都经济贸易大学2016年度科研基金项目
【分类号】：F427

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