俄罗斯跨波罗的海与跨黑海天然气管道比较分析

发布时间：2018-05-17 04:27

本文选题：俄罗斯 + 波罗的海　；参考：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2016年06期

【摘要】：进入21世纪尤其是2005年首次俄乌"斗气"以来,俄罗斯将跨波罗的海和跨黑海的输欧天然气出口管道建设作为其能源战略的重要组成部分。俄罗斯此举有摆脱传统输欧管道对乌克兰等国的过境依赖、增加对欧天然气出口量以确其保传统出口市场同时抢占新市场份额、实现天然气出口路径多元化战略从而最大程度地发挥在欧洲乃至全球的能源外交影响力等不同层面的战略意图。乌克兰危机前,俄罗斯跨海输欧天然气管道早期项目成果显著,具体体现在蓝流和北流这两条管道上。乌克兰危机后,受俄罗斯与欧美之间在能源等领域的地缘政治角逐等因素直接影响,俄罗斯跨海输欧天然气管道近期项目筹建过程曲折反复,并展现出诸多新态势,主要体现在已取消的南流、受中东欧国家强烈反对北流2、新近取得突破的土耳其流这三条管道上。本文试图从战略目标一致性、目标市场互补性、运营项目差异性、筹建项目相似性等四方面比较两者之间的异同。
[Abstract]:In the 21st century, especially since the first "fighting gas" between Russia and Ukraine in 2005, Russia regards the construction of trans-Baltic and trans-Black Sea natural gas export pipeline as an important part of its energy strategy. In doing so, Russia will get rid of the transit dependence of the traditional European pipeline on Ukraine and other countries, and increase its natural gas exports to Europe in order to secure its traditional export market and seize the new market share. To realize the diversification strategy of natural gas export path to maximize the strategic intention in different aspects such as Europe and even the global energy diplomatic influence. Before the Ukraine crisis, early projects for Russia's trans-sea gas pipeline, embodied in the Blue Stream and the North Stream, produced remarkable results. After the crisis in Ukraine, under the direct influence of factors such as geopolitical rivalry between Russia and Europe and the United States in the field of energy and other fields, the preparation process of the Russian gas pipeline for trans-sea transportation to Europe has been twists and turns, and many new trends have been shown. Mainly reflected in the cancelled southern flow, the central and eastern European countries strongly oppose the Northern Stream 2, the newly breakthrough Turkish flow on these three pipelines. This paper attempts to compare the similarities and differences between the two from four aspects: consistency of strategic objectives, complementarity of target market, difference of operation project, similarity of preparation project, etc.
【作者单位】：外交学院国际关系研究所;
【基金】：“中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目成果(项目号:ZY2015YA24)经费” “外交学院2015年度学生科研创新基金项目经费”双重资助
【分类号】：F416.22

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