流通成本变动与制造业空间集聚分析及对策

发布时间：2018-05-22 16:41

本文选题：流通成本 + 市场分割　；参考：《中国流通经济》2016年06期

【摘要】：在空间经济学中,流通成本与制造业空间集聚是学界热门议题,一系列与区域贸易和政府决策相关的关系成为流通理论关注的热点。现有理论或实证研究从微观角度分析流通经济现象,为考察流通产业提供了微观建模思想。基于国内外相关文献,融合双边市场理论和中心—外围模型,利用1996—2014年数据,通过模拟法分析流通成本变动影响制造业空间集聚的机制,基于面板回归和空间计量方法进行检验发现,我国省域间流通成本差距正在不断拉大,流通成本指数和空间溢出指标在控制了物价变量与运输条件变量后对地区制造业集聚仍然保持正影响,地区流通成本与工业集聚水平为倒U型关系。这充分说明,贸易环境与地方政府关系密切,在产业转型升级过程中,考虑到我国区域经济发展的差异性,加之产业再分工、贸易保护主义等因素影响,严重阻碍了市场一体化进程。因此,经济新常态背景下,为更好地改善地区投资环境,充分发挥流通服务业对制造业发展的推动作用,增加流通服务业投资,促进流通服务业持续稳定发展,一要政府转变观念,提高对流通服务业的重视程度;二要提高流通服务业发展水平,促进制造业发展;三要制定合理的产业政策,调整产业结构;四要引导与促进产业间融合,提高流通业与制造业协同发展程度。
[Abstract]:In spatial economics, circulation cost and manufacturing spatial agglomeration are hot topics in academic circles. A series of relations related to regional trade and government decision-making have become the focus of attention in circulation theory. The existing theoretical or empirical research analyzes the phenomenon of circulation economy from the micro point of view, which provides the microscopic modeling idea for the investigation of circulation industry. Based on the relevant literature at home and abroad, combining the bilateral market theory and the center-periphery model, using the data from 1996 to 2014, the paper analyzes the mechanism of the effect of the change of circulation cost on the spatial agglomeration of manufacturing industry by simulation method. Based on panel regression and spatial measurement methods, we find that the gap of circulation cost between provinces is widening. The index of circulation cost and the index of spatial spillover still have a positive effect on the regional manufacturing agglomeration after controlling the price variable and the transport condition variable. The regional circulation cost and the industrial agglomeration level are inversely U-shaped. This fully shows that the trade environment is closely related to local governments. In the process of industrial transformation and upgrading, we have taken into account the differences in regional economic development in China, as well as the industrial re-division of labor, trade protectionism and other factors. Seriously hindered the process of market integration. Therefore, in order to better improve the regional investment environment, give full play to the role of circulation services in promoting the development of manufacturing, increase investment in circulation services, and promote the sustained and stable development of circulation services, in the context of the new normal economy, First, the government should change its concept and pay more attention to the circulation service industry; second, it should raise the level of development of the circulation service industry and promote the development of the manufacturing industry; third, it should formulate reasonable industrial policies to adjust the industrial structure; and fourth, it should guide and promote the integration of industries. Improve the degree of coordinated development of circulation and manufacturing industries.
【作者单位】：吉林大学东北亚研究院;北京大学政府管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金“我国区域空间结构演化机理、影响因素及其优化研究”(41171099)
【分类号】：F724;F424

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