长三角制造业结构升级与人才素质结构升级的引领关系分析——兼论产业的“低端锁定”与人才的“学历泡沫”现象

发布时间：2018-07-12 08:03

本文选题：制造业 + 人才　；参考：《工业技术经济》2016年05期

【摘要】：本文用高技术产业产值占制造业产值比重及其变化表征制造业结构升级水平,用专科及以上学历从业人员数占全部从业人员数比重及其变化表征人才素质结构升级水平。在基于长三角数据对两项指标进行测度的基础上,利用时间序列计量经济分析中的单位根检验、协整检验和因果检验方法,对二者之间的引领关系进行了分析。结果表明,制造业的结构升级与人才素质的结构升级之间并不存在明显的引领关系。基于产业"低端锁定"和人才"学历泡沫"视角对其中的原因予以了解释,并提出了制造业与高等教育转型发展的相关建议。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the proportion of high-tech industry output value in manufacturing output value and its changes are used to characterize the upgrading level of manufacturing industry structure, and the proportion of the number of professionals with college or above to the total number of employees and their changes are used to characterize the upgrading level of talent quality structure. On the basis of measuring the two indexes based on the data of Yangtze River Delta, the leading relationship between them is analyzed by using the methods of unit root test, cointegration test and causality test in the econometric analysis of time series. The results show that there is no obvious leading relationship between the structural upgrading of manufacturing industry and the structural upgrading of talent quality. Based on the view of industry "low end locking" and talent "education bubble", this paper explains the reasons, and puts forward some suggestions on the transformation and development of manufacturing industry and higher education.
【作者单位】：江苏理工学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“长三角制造业从低端同构到协同集聚有序升级的路径研究”(项目编号:14BGL216) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“高等教育转型背景下高职高专与应用型本科课程衔接的研究——以江苏省为例”(项目编号:15YJA880065);教育部人文社会科学研究专项任务项目(工程科技人才培养研究)“硕士专业学位研究生企业实践模式与改革创新研究”(项目编号:14JDGC004)
【分类号】：F424

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