计及风险偏好的区域间可再生能源协同投资组合模型

发布时间：2018-08-17 09:57

【摘要】：随着可再生能源的不断发展和电力市场的改革,中国的可再生能源发电产业处于迅速发展的阶段。可再生能源发电因其低污染、可再生、节能和减排的优势而具有非常大的开发和投资潜力,越来越多的投资机构和个人开始投资建设可再生能源发电项目。本文将投资者的风险偏好纳入考虑,综合运用现代管理理论的投资组合模型,根据各可再生能源的实际发展情况及约束条件,建立计及风险偏好的区域间可再生能源协同投资组合模型。并进行算例分析。此外,通过对比平均调度与节能发电调度模式下上网电量的分配状况,分析投资可再生能源与燃煤发电的经济与社会效益水平。在节能调度模式下可再生能源发电项目的效益将更有保障,在电力系统能满足可再生能源消纳要求的情况下应该增加可再生能源项目的投资。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of renewable energy and the reform of electricity market, the renewable energy generation industry in China is in the stage of rapid development. Renewable energy generation has great potential for development and investment because of its advantages of low pollution, renewable, energy saving and emission reduction. More and more investment institutions and individuals begin to invest in the construction of renewable energy generation projects. In this paper, the risk preference of investors is taken into account, and the portfolio model of modern management theory is used synthetically, according to the actual development of renewable energy and the constraints. An interregional renewable energy cooperative portfolio model considering risk preference is established. An example is given. In addition, the economic and social benefits of investment in renewable energy and coal-fired power generation are analyzed by comparing the distribution of Internet power under the mode of average dispatching and energy-saving generation scheduling. The efficiency of renewable energy generation projects will be more guaranteed under the mode of energy saving and dispatching, and the investment of renewable energy projects should be increased when the power system can meet the requirements of renewable energy consumption.
【作者单位】：华北电力大学能源经济与环境研究所;
【分类号】：F426.2

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