J公司AFM产品需求预测与主生产计划改进研究

发布时间：2018-12-12 19:47

【摘要】：伴随全球经济的持续发展和中国经济快速发展,管理思维和科学技术日益更新换代,市场需求也呈现多样化,市场竞争日益激烈的今天,制造型企业面临越来越多压力,诸如人工和原材料成本压力、人力资源流失率高、利润率变低、客户对质量与交货期的要求变高等,因此转型升级内在和外在动力表现得更为抢眼。目前以规模化大批量生产方式的主流模式不断向多品种小批量生产模式转变。J公司作为全球最大的电子合约制造服务商之一,面对新的内外形势,不得不面对同样的问题,如何在公司实施更为科学合理、可行高效的物料和生产计划与控制成为J公司生产运作管理的主要思考问题。本文以J公司AFM产品目前存在的需求预测、物料计划、生产环节等问题以及主生产计划和控制体系进行深入分析,提出适合J公司AFM产品未来可操作的改进研究。本文采用了文献综合分析法,对比分析法和实证分法,结合使用JIT、MRP、6 Sgima管理办法进行对J公司AFM产品生产计划改进策略进行研究。J公司经营范围包括电脑外围设备、数据传输、自动化及消费产品等多个领域,J公司向全球各地的客户提供从设计、开发、生产、装配、系统技术支持甚至到最终用户分销等优质服务、而AFM产品主要是为法国一家玩具公司生产各种型号的智能摇控飞行器(简称无人机)和飞行器零配件。随着J公司业务的不断扩张,针对飞行器产品,规格型号较多,客户需求不稳定,物料状况、生产线面临着多品种小批量生产模式的挑战。本文围绕J公司的AFM产品需求预测与主生产计划为主研究路线,合理安排文章结构,从第一章绪论开始,介绍本文的研究背景、目的、意义、国内外的理论研究与应用现状以及研究方法和研究内容等,第二章对J公司的基本情况进行介绍,并重点分析目前J公司AFM产品需求预测与主生产计划存在的主要问题,第三章着重阐述J公司AFM产品需求预测与效果分析,主要从客户需求预测着手、选择符合J公司AFM产品的预测方法,根据需求预测的一些方法去推算效果,并通过检验手段分析其效果,第四章进行对主生产计划的改进思路、方案的选择并提出优化方案,第五章对主生产计划改进的后效果进行模拟并分析其效果。最后对整个J公司的需求预测与主生产计划改进策略进行总结和展望。本文所研究的需求预测与生产计划改进策略是针对J公司的情况进行来设计的,最终通过研究分析必将在J公司应用良好,既可提高顾客满意程度的同时降低经营成本,通过提高主生产计划、生产执行核心过程的运行质量,使原材料库存处于一个较为合理的水平,进而提升企业赢利能力,在新经济环境下提升J公司内外部竞争力和持续发展能力。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of the global economy and the rapid development of China's economy, the management thinking and science and technology are changing day by day, the market demand is also diversified, and the market competition is increasingly fierce, manufacturing enterprises are facing more and more pressure. Such as labor and raw material cost pressure, high human resource loss rate, lower profit margin, higher customer demand for quality and delivery date, so the internal and external dynamics of transformation and upgrading are more eye-catching. As one of the largest electronic contract manufacturers in the world, J Company has to face the same problems in the face of the new internal and external situation. How to implement more scientific, reasonable, feasible and efficient material and production planning and control in company J has become the main problem of production operation management. In this paper, the problems of demand prediction, material planning, production links and main production planning and control system of J company AFM products are analyzed, and the improvement research suitable for J company AFM products is put forward in the future. This paper adopts the comprehensive analysis of literature, comparative analysis and empirical analysis, combined with the JIT,MRP,6 Sgima management method to study J company AFM product production plan improvement strategy. J company business scope includes computer peripherals, In a wide range of areas such as data transmission, automation and consumer products, J provides customers around the world with quality services ranging from design, development, production, assembly, system technical support, and even end-user distribution. AFM products are mainly for a toy company in France to produce a variety of intelligent range control aircraft (UAV) and aircraft parts. With the expansion of J Company's business, the production line is faced with the challenge of multi-variety and small-batch production model for aircraft products, many specifications, unstable customer demand, material status. This paper focuses on J Company's AFM product demand prediction and main production planning research route, reasonable arrangement of the article structure, from the introduction of the first chapter, introduces the research background, purpose, significance, The present situation of theoretical research and application at home and abroad, research methods and research contents, etc. The second chapter introduces the basic situation of J Company, and analyzes the main problems existing in J Company's AFM product demand prediction and main production plan. The third chapter focuses on J company AFM product demand forecast and effect analysis, mainly from the customer demand forecast, select the J company AFM product forecast method, according to some demand forecast methods to calculate the effect. And through the means of inspection to analyze its effect, the fourth chapter is to improve the main production plan, the choice of the scheme and put forward the optimization plan, the fifth chapter of the master production plan after the improvement of the simulation and analysis of its effect. Finally, the demand forecast and main production plan improvement strategy of J Company are summarized and prospected. The demand forecasting and production planning improvement strategy studied in this paper is designed according to the situation of J Company. Finally, it will be applied well in J Company through research and analysis, which can not only improve the degree of customer satisfaction but also reduce the operating cost. By improving the main production plan and the operation quality of the core process of production execution, the stock of raw materials is kept at a reasonable level, and the profitability of the enterprise is further enhanced. In the new economic environment to enhance J's internal and external competitiveness and sustainable development capacity.
【学位授予单位】：华南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.63;F273

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