济南市道路交通管理规划中若干问题的分析与研究

发布时间：2018-03-02 09:52

本文关键词： 交通管理战略规划系统分析对策　出处：《天津大学》2004年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着我国现代化和城市化进程的加快,城市交通需求量急剧增长,城市交通问题日趋严重。为了解决城市交通问题,过去人们总是把希望寄托于城市道路及其交通设施的建设上,使得城市交通(建设)规划的理论研究日臻成熟。但中国的城市交通问题仍然没有解决,人们越来越意识到仅靠道路建设是不能解决交通问题的,管理与建设同等重要,并且在交通网络初具规模后,现代化的交通管理对解决交通问题更有作用。因此,近年来,人们已经开始把解决交通问题的重点转移到了交通管理上。但由于以前建立的城市交通规划理论实质上是城市交通基础设施建设规划理论,不能面向交通管理,城市交通管理部门在进行交通管理时缺乏理论指导,缺乏科学的决策支持手段,交通管理中存在着盲目管理的现象,使交通管理的作用不明显,甚至出现负面效应。本文旨在通过对济南市交通管理规划中若干问题的分析与研究,希望能为济南市制定出符合自身实际的、具有前瞻性的交通管理规划提供一点帮助,以有效控制日益尖锐的供需矛盾,为济南市经济的健康有序、持续高效发展创造良好的交通环境。本文的章节安排及主要内容:第一章是城市道路交通管理规划简述,共阐述了交通管理规划的定义及其在解决交通问题中的地位,原则和研究内容、研究方法四方面内容,分析中将交通管理规划划分为两个层次,即战略规划和专项规划,研究中使用图表是本章的特点;第二章是济南市交通管理战略规划研究,本章以济南城市交通发展战略研究为例,介绍济南市城市交通症结之所在、分析城市交通面临的挑战和机遇、制定出城市交通发展目标和策略、提出了交通管理战略规划研究的技术思路;第三章是济南市交通管理专项规划研究。根据济南市的实际情况,通过大量数据分别从出行方式、摩托车、私人汽车、静态管理四方面面向问题进行分析,其中运用指数平滑法对小客车的数量进行了定量预测;第四章是城市道路交通管理规划的整合与展望,从交通管理的角度概括了建立可持续发展的城市道路交通系统的对策体系。本文的主要创新在于:一是通过实证研究,强化管理和调控手段,落实交通系统管理和交通需求管理,实现资源的有效使用;二是运用指数平滑法,建立数学模型,对济南市小客车数量进行了科学预测;三是提出了新的观点“城市重要截面的交通将和核心区一样,将成为交通管理关注的重点”;四是将交通管理规划由“以车为本”向“以人为本”转变,真正实现长效交通管理。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of modernization and urbanization in China, the demand for urban transportation is increasing rapidly, and the urban traffic problem is becoming more and more serious. In the past, people always put their hopes on the construction of urban roads and transportation facilities, which made the theoretical study of urban transportation (construction) planning more and more mature. However, the problem of urban transportation in China has still not been solved. People are becoming increasingly aware that road construction alone cannot solve traffic problems, that management is as important as construction, and that modern traffic management is more effective in solving traffic problems after the beginning of the traffic network. Therefore, in recent years, People have begun to shift the focus of solving traffic problems to traffic management. However, because the theory of urban traffic planning established before is essentially a theory of urban transportation infrastructure construction planning, it cannot be oriented to traffic management. The urban traffic management departments lack of theoretical guidance and scientific decision support means when carrying out traffic management. There is a phenomenon of blind management in traffic management, which makes the role of traffic management not obvious. The purpose of this paper is to analyze and study some problems in Jinan traffic management planning, hoping to provide some help for Jinan city to formulate a forward-looking traffic management plan, which is in line with its own reality. In order to effectively control the increasingly sharp contradiction between supply and demand, Jinan's economy is healthy and orderly, and a good traffic environment is created for sustainable and efficient development. The first chapter is a brief description of urban road traffic management planning, which expounds the definition of traffic management planning and its position in solving traffic problems, principles and research contents, research methods, four aspects. In the analysis, traffic management planning is divided into two levels, namely, strategic planning and special planning. Taking Jinan city traffic development strategy as an example, this chapter introduces the crux of Jinan city traffic, analyzes the challenges and opportunities faced by the city traffic, and formulates the urban traffic development goals and strategies. The third chapter is the research on the special planning of traffic management in Jinan. According to the actual situation of Jinan, through a large number of data from travel modes, motorcycles, private cars, Static management of four aspects of problem-oriented analysis, including the use of exponential smoothing method for quantitative prediction of the number of small passenger cars, 4th chapter is the integration of urban road traffic management planning and prospects, From the point of view of traffic management, this paper summarizes the countermeasure system of establishing sustainable development of urban road traffic system. The main innovations of this paper are as follows: first, through empirical research, strengthen management and control means, implement traffic system management and traffic demand management, and realize the effective use of resources; second, use exponential smoothing method to establish mathematical model. The number of passenger cars in Jinan is predicted scientifically. Thirdly, a new viewpoint is put forward: "the traffic of important sections of the city will be the same as the core area." The fourth is to change the traffic management plan from "car-based" to "people-oriented" to realize long-term effective traffic management.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2004
【分类号】：D631.5

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