群体性事件预警体系构建研究

发布时间：2018-04-27 09:05

本文选题：群体性事件 + 预警体系　；参考：《南京邮电大学》2011年硕士论文

【摘要】：当前,我国正处于经济转轨、社会转型、各项改革向纵深方向发展的特定历史时期,是社会矛盾的凸显期,因各种原因引发的群体性事件呈多发态势,涉及的社会面越来越广,有的甚至演变成打、砸、抢、烧等严重暴力事件,已经成为影响我国社会稳定和治安稳定的突出社会问题。为此,有必要建立切实可行的群体性事件预警体系,运用现代化科学方法,及时、准确地实施预测、预报,尽早、尽快地做好预防和处置工作,以降低群体性事件对社会和经济产生的危害。本文界定了群体性事件、群体性事件预警及群体性事件预警体系的概念,介绍了国内外研究动态,尤其是对具有代表性的美国、加拿大以及香港等国家和地区进行预警管理体系、预警指标体系、预警管理系统以及法律体系方面的建设进行分析与经验总结,为我国群体性事件预警体系的构建提供一定理论参考。在此基础上,根据我国目前实际情况,结合国内外社会风险以及预警指标体系研究的成果,通过资料收集、数据分析、专家咨询等提出我国群体性事件预警指标体系,对指标体系的理论内涵进行深入阐述,并构建预警评估模型。结合系统构建的特点和系统体系架构,指出了群体性事件预警管理系统的功能与作用,对群体性事件预警管理系统运行流程进行了研究,最后提出了完善群体性事件预警体系构建的建议和设想。
[Abstract]:At present, China is in a specific historical period of economic transition, social transformation and the development of various reforms in the direction of depth. It is a prominent period of social contradictions. The mass events caused by various reasons are in a situation of frequent occurrence and involve more and more social areas. Some even turned into serious violence such as beating, smashing, looting and burning, which has become a prominent social problem affecting the social stability and security stability of our country. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a feasible early warning system for mass events, to use modern scientific methods, to timely and accurately carry out the prediction, forecast, and to do a good job of prevention and treatment as soon as possible. To reduce the social and economic harm caused by mass incidents. This paper defines the concepts of group event, group event early warning and group event warning system, and introduces the research trends at home and abroad, especially for the representative United States. Canada and Hong Kong and other countries and regions carry out early warning management system, early warning index system, early warning management system and legal system construction to carry on the analysis and the experience summary. To provide a theoretical reference for the early warning system of mass events in China. On this basis, according to the current situation of our country, combined with the research results of social risk and early warning index system at home and abroad, through data collection, data analysis and expert consultation, the paper puts forward the early warning index system of group events in our country. The theoretical connotation of the index system is expounded in depth, and the early warning evaluation model is constructed. Combined with the characteristics of the system construction and the system architecture, this paper points out the function and function of the group event early warning management system, and studies the operation process of the group event early warning management system. Finally, some suggestions and ideas are put forward to perfect the early warning system of mass events.
【学位授予单位】：南京邮电大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2011
【分类号】：D631.4

【引证文献】