英国安全风险评估与危机预警机制论析

发布时间：2018-02-04 00:05

本文关键词： 英国安全风险危机预警机制改革　出处：《欧洲研究》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：进入21世纪后,英国面临非传统安全和传统安全相交织的挑战,受威胁程度有加剧之势。2015年,英国发布的"国家安全战略和战略防务与安全评估"报告将其面临的安全风险划分为三个层级和三类威胁。英国安全和情报机构以事前控制和预防为核心,并根据不同的威胁进行了匹配性工作。但其安全预警体制机制存在协调性与联动性不足、情报传递机制缺陷、安全评估机制不合理等问题,英国据此进行了安全预警机制改革。尽管如此,英国安全预警机制依然存在诸多问题:英国脱欧的后遗症、"情报保护主义"、经济不振和部门间的"山头主义"等都困扰着国家安全危机预警机制的运作。如何针对未来不确定性的安全环境,探索安全预警机制出路,将是英国新政府面临的难题。
[Abstract]:Since 21th century, Britain has faced a combination of non-traditional and traditional security challenges, with a growing threat. 2015. The National Security Strategy and Strategic Defence and Security Assessment issued by the UK divides the security risks it faces into three levels and three types of threats. The UK security and intelligence agencies focus on prior control and prevention. According to different threats, the matching work is carried out. However, there are some problems in the security early warning system, such as insufficient coordination and linkage, defects of information transmission mechanism, unreasonable security assessment mechanism, and so on. Even so, there are still many problems in Britain's security early warning system: the sequelae of Brexit and "intelligence protectionism". Economic depression and interdepartmental "mountainism" are all puzzling the operation of the national security crisis warning mechanism. How to explore the way out of the security early warning mechanism in view of the uncertain security environment in the future. It will be a difficult problem for the new British government.
【作者单位】：上海外国语大学中东研究所;
【基金】：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“世界主要国家安全体制机制研究”(项目编号:11JZD046)的中期成果
【分类号】：D756.1
【正文快照】： 进入21世纪后,英国面临非传统安全和传统安全相交织的挑战:恐怖主义、国内紧急突发事件、核武器与大规模杀伤性武器扩散、跨国犯罪、“失败国家”的风险外溢,以及地区冲突等。在一个威胁多元化的世界里,英国政府的首要任务仍然是维护国家安全,(1)包括事前预防预警和事后应对。

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