当代中国改革风险防控研究

发布时间：2018-03-01 00:08

本文关键词： 中国改革风险防控　出处：《中共中央党校》2016年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：当代中国改革是一项艰难曲折、充满风险的事业,自1978年至今,中国改革的巨轮已行至攻坚期深水区,有了更为开阔的行进空间,又面临着“中流击水、浪遏飞舟”的风险挑战。特别是,中国正处于社会转型的关键期、全面建成小康社会的决胜期,决不能在根本性问题上出现颠覆性错误。改革之路从无坦途,惟其笃行,才能行稳致远。站在历史的重要节点上,如何充分认识当代中国改革的复杂性和艰巨性,对可能遇到的风险挑战高度警惕、居安思危,并能及时防范、有效控制,是一项十分重大而紧迫的现实课题。本论文以马克思主义为指导,以风险社会理论为借鉴,以习近平关于改革风险防控的思想为遵循,按照“问题提出——理论基础——历史考察——现实分析——对策建议”的思路,坚持理论与实践相结合、立足中国与放眼世界相结合、总结历史与剖析现实相结合、揭示矛盾与探寻对策相结合,综合运用文献研究法、矛盾分析法、案例分析法、历史比较法、调查研究法等多种方法,从以下几个方面展开研究:前言:主要阐述研究的背景、意义、现状、方法、创新观点等,着重分析改革风险防控研究的现状及价值。第一章:改革风险防控研究的理论基础。对研究所涉及的风险、改革风险、改革风险防控等基本概念进行界定,运用马克思主义社会有机体理论分析改革风险的生成机理和主要类型,借鉴风险社会理论认清改革风险所产生的深刻背景。第二章:中外改革史上风险防控的启示。从风险防控的角度,深入剖析了中国改革史上商鞅变法、王莽改制、王安石变法、晚清改良,和世界改革史上日本明治维新、美国罗斯福新政和里根改革、英国撒切尔夫人改革、苏联戈尔巴乔夫改革等经典改革案例,提炼总结其中的成功经验及失败教训,为当代中国改革提供有益借鉴。第三章:新中国成立后风险防控的历程。沿着历史的线索,从纵向的角度回顾总结了毛泽东、邓小平、江泽民、胡锦涛关于风险防控的探索与思考,为当前全面深化改革中做好风险防控提供了宝贵财富。第四章:当前中国改革面临风险的现实分析。从改革方向、改革领域、改革进程、改革方法、外部环境等五个角度分析了当前中国改革所面临风险的主要表现,概括了历时态风险的共时性存在、制度性结构性风险威胁最大、改革发展与风险之间相互影响、风险之间的相互传导不断增强等主要特点,最后从社会快速转型、市场经济的负面效应、体制机制不完善、应对风险的经验能力不足等四个方面,挖掘当前中国改革所面临风险的产生根源。第五章:全面深化改革中风险防控的几点思考。党的十八大以来,习近平提出了一系列改革风险防控思想,主要包括改革不可能没有任何风险,坚持改革的正确方向,坚持改革的总体方针和基本要求,树立战略、辩证、法治、系统、底线和创新思维,把握全面深化改革的重大关系等内容,这是当前做好改革风险防控工作的基本遵循。以此为指导,需要从增强民众的风险意识和承受能力,以公平正义为导向协调利益关系,加强重大改革决策的风险评估,完善改革的相关保障体系等方面入手,不断提高防范改革风险的能力;从及时化解人民内部矛盾,不断创新和加强国家治理,在经济新常态下积极化解经济风险,推进社会改革有效缓解风险等方面努力,不断提高管控改革风险的能力。结语:对本论文研究的主要观点进行了概括,同时提出,下一步需要从细化研究、量化研究、深化研究三个维度,继续加强对改革风险防控问题的研究。通过研究,在理论价值方面,深刻总结中外改革史上风险防控的经验教训,科学概括我们党风险防控的宝贵经验,系统梳理习近平关于改革风险防控的思想,大胆建构具有中国特色的改革风险防控理论,从而为全面深化改革中做好风险防控提供理论支持。在现实意义方面,有助于在全面深化改革进程中增强风险意识,对改革的复杂性艰巨性保持清醒认识,增强前瞻意识,掌握防控改革风险的有效策略,从而确保中国改革伟业披荆斩棘、顺利推进。
[Abstract]:The Chinese reform is an arduous and tortuous, full of risk, since 1978, the reform of the ship China deepwater area reached a crucial stage, with more open space travel, and facing the stream water, waves Feizhou stop risk challenge. Especially, Chinese is in a critical period of social transformation. Build a well-off society in the extra period, must not appear disruptive errors on fundamental issues. Never smooth path of reform, but Dusing, to the line steady Zhiyuan. Standing on an important node in history, how to fully understand the complexity of contemporary Chinese reform and arduous, be prepared for the possible risks challenge high alert, and timely prevention, effective control, is a practical task in a very important and urgent. This thesis takes the Marx doctrine as a guide to the theory of Risk Society for reference, with Xi Jinping on the reform of risk prevention and control The idea is to follow, in accordance with the "problems -- a theoretical basis -- a historical study of reality -- the analysis of countermeasures and suggestions" ideas, adhere to the combination of theory and practice, based on the Chinese and the combination of history and have the whole world in view, summed up the analysis of reality, revealing the contradictions and explore countermeasures combining the integrated use of literature research method, the method of contradiction analysis, case analysis, historical comparison, various survey method, the study is from the following aspects: Preface: mainly expounds the research background, significance, status, methods, innovative ideas, focuses on the analysis of the status and value of risk prevention and control of the reform. The first chapter: the theoretical basis of risk prevention and control risk of reform. And to study the risk of reform, define the basic concepts of reform such as risk control, risk analysis using formation mechanism reform of Marx's social organism theory And the main types, from the theory of risk society to recognize the profound background generated by the risk of reform. The second chapter: the history of Chinese and foreign reform risk prevention and control of the enlightenment. From risk control perspective, in-depth analysis of the China reform in the history of the reform of Shang Yang, Wang Mang's reform, the reform of Wang Anshi in the late Qing Dynasty, modified, and the world in the history of the reform of the Meiji Restoration in Japan, the new American Roosevelt Reagan and Margaret Thatcher reform, reform, reform of the Soviet Union Gorbachev classic reform case, summarizes the successful experience and failure lessons, provide a useful reference for the contemporary China reform. The third chapter: the course of risk prevention and control of the new China. After the establishment of the historical clues, from the longitudinal angle review of Mao Zedong Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, exploring and thinking about the risk prevention and control of Hu Jintao, for the current comprehensive deepening of reform to make risk prevention provides valuable wealth. In the fourth chapter The reality: analysis of the current Chinese reform risk. From the direction of reform, reform, reform process, reform method, five aspects of the external environment analysis of the main performance of the Chinese reform risk faced by the synchronic existence summarizes diachronic institutional risk, structural risk the greatest threat, the mutual influence between reform and development with the risk of mutual transmission between risk increasing and other major features, finally from the rapid social transformation, the negative effect of the market economy system, imperfect mechanism, four aspects to deal with the risk of lack of experience, the current China mining reform faces the source of risk. The fifth chapter: Reflections on deepening the reform of risk prevention and control comprehensive. The Party of eighteen years, Xi Jinping put forward a series of reform risk control thought, including the reform can not be without any risk, the right to adhere to the reform To adhere to the reform, the general principles and basic requirements, establish strategic, dialectical, rule of law, system, and the bottom line of innovative thinking, grasp the content of deepening the reform of the major relations, this is the basic reform to follow good risk prevention and control work at present. As a guide, from the need to increase people's risk awareness and ability, to the fair justice oriented coordination of interests, strengthen the risk assessment of major reform measures, improve the relevant security system reform of continuously improve the ability to prevent risks from reform; in a timely manner to resolve the contradictions among the people, innovation and strengthen national governance, actively resolve the economic risk under the new economic normal social reform, effectively alleviate the risk and other efforts to continuously improve the ability to control the risk of reform. The main points of this thesis are summarized, and put forward, the next step need to refine The research, quantitative research, deepen the research of the three dimensions, continue to strengthen the research on the reform of risk prevention and control problems. Through the research on the theory of value, summarizing the experiences and lessons of the reform history of risk prevention and control, scientifically summarized the valuable experience of our party risk prevention and control system, combing Xi Jinping on the reform of risk prevention and control ideas, bold construction the reform of risk control theory has China characteristics, so as to comprehensively deepen reforms in risk prevention and control to provide theoretical support. In practical aspect, helps to strengthen the risk consciousness in the comprehensive deepening reform process, maintain a clear understanding of the complexity of the enormity of the reform, enhance the forward thinking, effective strategies to control risks so as to grasp the reform. To ensure that the reform of China Albert hacked smoothly.

【学位授予单位】：中共中央党校
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：D61

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