当前中国应对美国“对冲”战略研究

发布时间：2018-03-14 14:45

本文选题：对冲战略　切入点：中美关系中国外交战略　出处：《华侨大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：作为当今世界最复杂且最重要的一组双边关系,中美两国之间既竞争也合作,既存在结构性对抗又有千丝万缕的利益捆绑。美国出于中国自身实力的不断增长以及对美国相对衰弱的认知,为防止中国挑战其既有优势地位,试图通过“遏制”、“接触”与“再确认”等战略手段来降低对华外交行动风险,规避其未来发展的不确定性。本文以美国如何在双边复杂矛盾和利益纠葛下形成对华的摇摆政策以及中国的应对为研究内容,尝试打破传统的国际关系认知惯性,引入“对冲”概念,在回顾近年来美国对华“对冲”战略实施、梳理当前“对冲”背景下中美关系发展情况与面临的困境的基础上,提出若干未来中国战略应对的优化性建议。本文认为,美国当前对华“对冲”战略选择并未给中美关系的发展带来过多积极作用,由于该战略在实施过程中指向性不强且难以形成合力,这种若有似无的“暧昧”关系无形中给中美关系的发展带来了造成了许多不确定性和未知风险。尽管如此,能否深入理解在“对冲”背景下中美两国关系的复杂性并准确把握其动态特征,这对于中国未来能否应对中美关系所面临的挑战和机遇举足轻重。它不仅能使我国对美外交战略形成较为系统和深入的认知,而且可以为中方进一步优化对外战略布局、提升国际影响力提供更多的可行性方案与经验借鉴。中方需要认清形势,思考构建对美战略的新升级模式,把握机遇,主动塑造中美战略局势,有效管控分歧,在一方面积极扩大合作增量,另一方面也有效淡化竞争存量的基础上,推动两国关系朝着健康、积极的方向演进。
[Abstract]:As the most complex and important group of bilateral relations in the world today, China and the United States both compete and cooperate. There are structural confrontations and inextricably bound interests. Because of China's growing power and its perception of its relative weakness, the United States is trying to prevent China from challenging its pre-eminent position. Trying to reduce the risk of diplomatic action against China through such strategic means as "containment", "engagement" and "reconfirmation". In order to avoid the uncertainty of its future development, this paper attempts to break the traditional cognitive inertia of international relations by studying how the United States forms its swing policy towards China under the bilateral complex contradictions and interests disputes. Introducing the concept of "hedging", reviewing the recent implementation of the "hedging" strategy of the United States against China, and combing the development and difficulties of Sino-US relations under the background of "hedging". This paper puts forward some optimized suggestions for China's future strategic response. This paper argues that the current "hedging" strategy of the United States to China has not brought too much positive effect to the development of Sino-US relations. Because the strategy is not oriented and difficult to form a resultant force in the process of implementation, this "ambiguous" relationship, which seems to have no effect, has brought many uncertainties and unknown risks to the development of Sino-US relations. Can we understand in depth the complexity of Sino-US relations in the context of "hedging" and accurately grasp its dynamic characteristics, This is of great importance to China's ability to cope with the challenges and opportunities facing Sino-US relations in the future. It not only enables China to form a more systematic and in-depth understanding of the US diplomatic strategy, but also can further optimize the foreign strategic layout for the Chinese side. China needs to recognize the situation, think about building a new upgrade model for the US strategy, seize the opportunity, take the initiative to shape the strategic situation between China and the United States, and effectively manage differences. On the basis of expanding the cooperation increment on the one hand and desalinating the competitive stock effectively on the other, the relationship between the two countries will evolve in a healthy and positive direction.
【学位授予单位】：华侨大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D822.371.2

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