君主素质、宗教约束与中国历代王朝农民起义

发布时间：2018-03-30 04:32

本文选题：农民起义　切入点：君主素质　出处：《华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年04期

【摘要】：为了探究君主素质、宗教约束和气候冲击对农民起义的影响机理,构建中国君主面板数据集,以君主为横截面,时间跨度为前221年至1911年,并使用随机效应的面板负二项回归模型作为基准模型。研究表明:在秦朝到清朝这个历史阶段,君主的个人素质会显著影响农民起义,盛世能减少农民起义的发生;宗教约束中的佛教能缓解农民起义,而基督教则更容易导致农民起义的发生;严重的自然灾害所导致的严重饥荒能诱发农民起义;其他变量的影响不显著或不稳健。
[Abstract]:In order to explore the influence mechanism of monarch quality, religious restraint and climate shock on peasant uprising, a panel data set of Chinese monarchs was constructed, with the monarch as the cross section and the time span from 221 to 1911. The negative binomial regression model of random effect is used as the benchmark model. The research shows that in the historical period from Qin Dynasty to Qing Dynasty, the personal quality of monarch will significantly affect peasant uprising, and prosperous times can reduce the occurrence of peasant uprising; Buddhism in religious constraints can alleviate peasant uprising, while Christianity is more likely to lead to peasant uprising; severe famine caused by severe natural disasters can induce peasant uprising; the influence of other variables is not significant or unsteady.
【作者单位】：华南农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目(71633002) 教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(14YJA630099)
【分类号】：D691;K207;K23

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