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衰落抑或转型:近年来我国公民政治参与的新动向——基于3波ABS调查数据的分析

发布时间:2018-04-05 06:29

  本文选题:政治参与 切入点:变迁 出处:《探索》2017年03期


【摘要】:2015年的调查结果显示,与2002年和2011年的调查数据相比,我国公民政治参与在最近5年既有维持原有趋势的一面,也有新变化的一面。一方面,沟通型参与在基本稳定中略有增长,维权抗争型参与保持高位运行,它们维持着原有的变迁趋势;另一方面,前10年有所增长的投票、竞选和接触型参与各有不同程度的下滑。各类型参与有升有降的变迁趋势表明,我国公民政治参与的总体"转型"已经发生,人们更多地选择更具实质意义的参与方式。在影响公民政治参与变迁的3种时间效应中,生命周期效应有助于解释公民个体在不同年龄段的行为差异,但世代效应和制度效应对总体变迁更为重要。制度效应的出现,如选举评价与政治涉入各指标的下滑,指向了我国民主政治的一些现实困境:如基层选举运作欠佳,管控社会秩序的努力可能妨碍政治参与的扩大。而世代效应的出现,则表明新生代正从"经济赋权""文化赋权"走向"政治赋权",我国的政治民主及公民政治参与必将继续向纵深发展。
[Abstract]:The results of the 2015 survey show that compared with the survey data of 2002 and 2011, the political participation of citizens in China has not only maintained the original trend in the past five years, but also has a new side of change.On the one hand, communication participation has increased slightly in the basic stability, while the rights and resistance type participation has maintained a high level of operation. On the other hand, they have maintained the original trend of change. On the other hand, during the first 10 years of voting, there has been an increase in voting.Campaigns and engagement have declined to varying degrees.The changing trend of various types of participation shows that the overall "transformation" of civil political participation has taken place in China, and people choose more meaningful participation methods.Among the three time effects that influence the change of citizen's political participation, the life cycle effect is helpful to explain the behavior difference of the individual in different ages, but the generation effect and the institutional effect are more important to the overall change.The emergence of institutional effects, such as the decline of election evaluation and political involvement in various indicators, points to some practical dilemmas of democratic politics in China: for example, the poor operation of grass-roots elections and the efforts to control social order may hinder the expansion of political participation.The emergence of generational effect shows that the new generation is moving from "economic empowerment" and "cultural empowerment" to "political empowerment", and the political democracy and civil political participation in China will continue to develop in depth.
【作者单位】: 南京大学公共事务与地方治理研究中心;
【基金】:国家社会科学基金重点项目“我国公民政治价值观的实证研究”(16AZZ003),项目负责人:肖唐镖 南京大学引进人才项目“中国公民政治文化与政治行为研究”,项目负责人:肖唐镖
【分类号】:D621.5


本文编号:1713575

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