中韩关系的不确定性因素及其战略应对

发布时间：2018-04-11 02:30

本文选题：中韩关系 + 确定性　；参考：《东北亚论坛》2017年04期

【摘要】：建交近25年来,中韩关系有着跨越式发展,其复杂性也不容忽视,蕴藏着诸多不确定性的因素,在一定程度上制约着中韩合作的预期。以不确定性因素的影响与管控为视角,解析中韩关系的不确定性因素和确定性因素,尤其针对美国地缘布局、韩国安全战略、朝鲜核武动向、中韩民间认知差异等因变量,提出如下政策建议:理性认识中韩关系的发展趋势,强调合作仍是大势所趋,要不断深化相互间的理解与包容,坚守作为共同利益的半岛无核化,有效利用中韩经贸的外溢效应,推动完善双边合作机制的有效性,通过人文交流促进在中韩两个社会形成价值观相互包容、相互借鉴的氛围,夯实民间互信的基础。
[Abstract]:Since the establishment of diplomatic relations 25 years ago, Sino-Korean relations have developed by leaps and bounds, their complexity can not be ignored, there are many uncertain factors, and the expectations of Sino-Korean cooperation are restricted to a certain extent.From the perspective of the influence and control of uncertainty factors, this paper analyzes the uncertain factors and deterministic factors in Sino-South Korean relations, especially in terms of the US geographical layout, South Korean security strategy, the trend of North Korea's nuclear weapons, the differences in folk cognition between China and South Korea, and so on.Putting forward the following policy recommendations: rational understanding of the development trend of Sino-Korean relations, emphasizing that cooperation is still the trend of the times, to continuously deepen mutual understanding and tolerance, and to adhere to the denuclearization of the peninsula as a common interest,Effectively utilize the spillover effect of Sino-Korean economy and trade, promote the improvement of the effectiveness of bilateral cooperation mechanism, promote the formation of mutual tolerance and mutual reference atmosphere in the two societies through humanistic exchanges, and consolidate the foundation of mutual trust among the people.
【作者单位】：同济大学中国战略研究院;同济大学政治与国际关系学院;同济大学马克思主义理论博士后流动站;
【分类号】：D822.331.26

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