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特朗普政府对内经济政策政治学分析

发布时间:2018-05-04 08:40

  本文选题:特朗普 + 对内经济政策 ; 参考:《理论视野》2017年07期


【摘要】:使用政治学框架,分析特朗普执政半年来的对内经济政策。研究发现:第一,特朗普执政思路非常明确,经济政策均围绕其核心竞选主张"把工作带回美国"展开,目的是回应他的核心选民群体——白人蓝领的诉求,并且,他的政策具有高度可预见性,当前众多媒体盛传的"特朗普不可预测"纯属谬误;第二,特朗普提出政策并不意味着政策能够落地,关键取决于美国国会权力结构和特定政策本身是否需要国会立法;第三,经济政策也会反向影响选民基础和政党格局。目前来看,特朗普经济政策有利于扩大他在白人蓝领群体中的支持率,共和党很可能在2018年中期选举中获得大胜,特朗普在后半个任期将拥有更大的施政空间。
[Abstract]:The political framework is used to analyze the internal economic policy of Trump in power for half a year. First, the idea of Trump's ruling is very clear, and the economic policy is centered around his core campaign "bringing the work back to the United States". The aim is to respond to the appeal of his core voter group, the white blue collar, and his policy is high. Predictability, the "Trump unpredictability" of the current multi-media media is purely fallacious; second, Trump's policy does not mean that policy can fall to the ground, the key depends on the power structure of the United States Congress and whether the specific policy itself needs parliamentary legislation; and third, the economic policy will reverse the reverse of the electorate base and political party pattern. Look, Trump's economic policy will help expand his support among white blue collar groups. Republicans are likely to win a victory in the mid - 2018 elections, and Trump will have greater governance in the second half of his term.

【作者单位】: 中央党校党的建设教研部;
【分类号】:D771.2

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