变动中的平衡:东盟在亚太安全体系中的地位与作用

发布时间：2018-05-29 00:59

本文选题：东盟 + 亚太安全体系　；参考：《东南亚研究》2017年04期

【摘要】：在过去50年的发展历程中,东盟在亚太安全体系中的地位与作用历经了三次变迁。1972年,中美关系正常化使东南亚地区的冷战格局发生变化,东盟创始成员国开启了退出冷战的历史进程,使东盟得以顺利度过脆弱的襁褓期。1978年,越柬冲突爆发,东盟积极参与柬埔寨问题的和平解决进程,摆脱了在亚太安全体系中的边缘地位,但也暴露出硬实力不足的缺陷。1991年冷战终结,亚太安全体系发生历史性的剧变,处于地区安全结构平衡点上的东盟抓住有利时机,推动创建地区多边安全合作机制,成为亚太安全合作进程的"驾驶员",其地位与影响走向巅峰。无论从历史经验还是从理论模型来看,东盟在亚太安全体系中的地位与作用根源于亚太地区安全结构与东盟战略选择的互构。近年来,在美国"重返亚太"战略的影响下,亚太安全体系的结构变革逐渐深入,东盟在其中的关键地位也面临着严峻的挑战。东盟各国新一代领导人能否深刻理解东盟与亚太安全体系的内在联系,并做出合理的战略选择,对于东盟的未来发展具有决定性的意义。
[Abstract]:Over the past 50 years, ASEAN's position and role in the Asia-Pacific security system have undergone three changes. In 1972, the normalization of Sino-US relations changed the Cold War pattern in Southeast Asia. The founding members of ASEAN began the historical process of withdrawal from the cold war, which enabled ASEAN to successfully survive its fragile infancy. In 1978, when the conflict between Vietnam and Cambodia broke out, ASEAN actively participated in the process of peaceful settlement of the Cambodian issue. Getting rid of the marginal position in the Asia-Pacific security system, but also exposing the defect of insufficient hard power. At the end of the cold war in 1991, the Asia-Pacific security system underwent a historic and dramatic change, and ASEAN, which is at the balance point of the regional security structure, seized the favorable opportunity. To promote the establishment of regional multilateral security cooperation mechanism and become the "driver" of the Asia-Pacific security cooperation process, its status and influence reach its peak. In terms of historical experience and theoretical model, ASEAN's position and role in the Asia-Pacific security system is rooted in the mutual construction of the Asia-Pacific security structure and ASEAN's strategic choice. In recent years, under the influence of the "return to the Asia-Pacific" strategy of the United States, the structural transformation of the Asia-Pacific security system has gradually deepened, and the key position of ASEAN is also facing severe challenges. It is of decisive significance for the future development of ASEAN whether the leaders of the new generation of ASEAN countries can deeply understand the inherent relationship between ASEAN and the Asia-Pacific security system and make reasonable strategic choices.
【作者单位】：上海国际问题研究院国际战略研究所;
【基金】：上海市哲学社会科学规划课题“中国周边跨区域安全架构的理论模型与实现路径”(2016EGJ001)
【分类号】：D814.1

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