冷战后以色列对伊朗的政策研究

发布时间：2018-06-11 11:04

本文选题：以色列 + 伊朗　；参考：《暨南大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：自以色列建国以来,以色列的崛起在很大程度上取决于外交上的成功,而以色列的外交策略特点主要体现在三个方面:以战略利益为导向、重视国内与国外两个层次互动和受总理决策即主观利益的影响。以色列建国后与伊朗的关系曲折反复。其中,以色列在不同历史时期对伊朗的外交政策充分体现了国内和国际两个系统层次对国家外交政策的重要影响。本文试图从以色列的角度出发,首先通过将中东历史背景与以色列具体的外交事例相结合来梳理自以色列建国以来以伊双边关系的发展。其次着重对冷战后不同时期的以色列对伊朗外交政策进行论述。最后,在立足于以色列外交政策特点的基础上,从理性选择角度来探索后伊核协议时代以色列对伊朗外交政策及外交态度将发生什么变化。在中东国际关系研究领域中,以伊两国作为该地区两股势力最大的非阿拉伯力量,其双边关系的发展必然对该地区的稳定有着重要的影响。基于理性选择的视角,本文认为,后伊核协议时代以色列在追求其相对获益的同时,必定会与伊朗在核问题与地缘安全议题上产生正面的互动与博弈。但鉴于国际社会因素的制约,以色列单方面对伊朗动武的可能性不大,战略遏制与战略重视伊朗将是以色列较为明智的选择。
[Abstract]:Since the founding of Israel, the rise of Israel to a large extent depends on the success of diplomacy, and the characteristics of Israel's diplomatic strategy are mainly reflected in three aspects: guided by strategic interests, Attention should be paid to the interaction between domestic and foreign levels and influenced by the Prime Minister's decision-making, that is, subjective interests. Relations between Israel and Iran have been tortuous since the founding of the country. Among them, Israel's foreign policy towards Iran in different historical periods fully reflects the important influence of domestic and international systems on national foreign policy. This paper attempts to analyze the development of bilateral relations between Israel and Iraq since the founding of Israel by combining the historical background of the Middle East with Israel's specific diplomatic examples from the perspective of Israel. Secondly, the foreign policy of Israel to Iran in different period after the cold war is discussed. Finally, based on the characteristics of Israel's foreign policy, this paper explores from the perspective of rational choice what changes will take place in Israel's foreign policy and attitude towards Iran in the post-Iranian nuclear agreement era. In the field of international relations in the Middle East, Iraq and Iraq are the two most powerful non-Arab forces in the region, and the development of their bilateral relations is bound to have an important impact on the stability of the region. From the perspective of rational choice, this paper holds that in the post-Iranian nuclear agreement era, while pursuing its relative benefits, Israel will certainly have positive interaction and game with Iran on nuclear issues and geo-security issues. However, due to the constraints of the international community, Israel's unilateral use of force against Iran is unlikely, and strategic containment and strategic attention to Iran will be a more sensible choice for Israel.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D815.4

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