台湾地区政治发展中的民意支持——基于TEDS与ABS的分析

发布时间：2018-06-15 01:16

本文选题：政治转型 + 民意支持　；参考：《台湾研究集刊》2017年05期

【摘要】：本文运用台湾地区TEDS与ABS数据,在台湾所谓的民主体制、权威机关两个层面探讨台湾民众政治支持的分布与影响因素。研究发现台湾民众对既有体制的坚定支持与台湾式民主的运作满意度并不是很高。民众对体制运作的满意程度直接影响对现有体制的支持,民众对权威机关的负面评价会侵蚀对现有体制的支持。2012年后"民主批评"与"民主离异"群体比例上升,台湾民众对"民主赤字"扩大的行动反应也有显现。其中,"民主批评"群体虽会对行政当局的政策产出带来优化动力,但台湾朝野政治精英如何强化权威机关的治理表现是长期且关键的问题。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of TEDS and ABS in Taiwan, this paper discusses the distribution and influence factors of Taiwan people's political support at the two levels of Taiwan's so-called democratic system and authoritative organs. The study found that Taiwanese people's firm support for the existing system and Taiwan-style democracy's operating satisfaction is not very high. The level of popular satisfaction with the functioning of the system directly affects support for the existing system, and negative public comments on the authorities erode support for the existing system. The proportion of "democratic criticism" and "democratic divorce" groups has increased since 2012, Taiwan's public response to the widening democratic deficit is also evident. Although the "democratic criticism" group will bring the optimized power to the policy output of the administrative authorities, it is a long-term and crucial question how to strengthen the governance performance of Taiwan's ruling and opposition political elites.
【作者单位】：清华大学台湾研究院;上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金一般项目“台湾世代政治态度变动及其对两岸关系综合效应的实证研究”(17BZZ076)
【分类号】：D675.8

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