论东亚区域合作中的若干不确定性问题
发布时间：2018-10-16 11:32
【摘要】：虽然东亚合作的历史非常短暂,但中日韩合作在不到二十年的时间内已经取得了一系列成就,形成了多元复合治理的区域合作发展态势。在英国脱欧、美国特朗普总统上台以及中日韩关系遇冷等因素的影响下,东亚合作中的不确定因素增加,具体表现为中美竞争加剧、各国双边关系问题增多、地区热点问题升级和各国国内政局不稳等。如果管控失当,东亚合作就会面临停滞和倒退的危险。然而,这些不确定性也具有一定的相对性,也就是说,不确定之中也有一些确定的因素,不确定之中可能蕴含新的机遇。只要东亚各国加强交流,正确处理敏感问题,抓住机遇,就一定能够开辟东亚合作新的前景。
[Abstract]:Although the history of East Asian cooperation is very short, the cooperation between China, Japan and South Korea has made a series of achievements in less than 20 years, forming the development trend of regional cooperation of multiple and complex governance. Under the influence of factors such as Brexit from the European Union, US President Trump's coming to power and Sino-Japan-ROK relations that are not as expected, the uncertainties in East Asian cooperation have increased, specifically as the competition between China and the United States has intensified, and bilateral relations between various countries have increased. Regional hot issues upgrade and domestic political instability and so on. If mismanaged, East Asian cooperation risks stagnation and retrogression. However, these uncertainties also have certain relativity, that is to say, there are some definite factors in uncertainty, and there may be new opportunities in uncertainty. As long as East Asian countries strengthen exchanges, correctly handle sensitive issues and seize opportunities, they will certainly open up new prospects for East Asian cooperation.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院;
【分类号】：D731
[Abstract]:Although the history of East Asian cooperation is very short, the cooperation between China, Japan and South Korea has made a series of achievements in less than 20 years, forming the development trend of regional cooperation of multiple and complex governance. Under the influence of factors such as Brexit from the European Union, US President Trump's coming to power and Sino-Japan-ROK relations that are not as expected, the uncertainties in East Asian cooperation have increased, specifically as the competition between China and the United States has intensified, and bilateral relations between various countries have increased. Regional hot issues upgrade and domestic political instability and so on. If mismanaged, East Asian cooperation risks stagnation and retrogression. However, these uncertainties also have certain relativity, that is to say, there are some definite factors in uncertainty, and there may be new opportunities in uncertainty. As long as East Asian countries strengthen exchanges, correctly handle sensitive issues and seize opportunities, they will certainly open up new prospects for East Asian cooperation.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院;
【分类号】：D731
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