中俄海洋安全战略合作探究
发布时间：2019-07-05 15:07
【摘要】：中俄两国的海洋安全战略合作处在“低网格”、“鲁棒性”、“复杂性”的国际背景之下,因而战略目标契合产生的合作的经常性、利益不合引发的摩擦经常性、关系互动的复杂性都很明显,为了避免“历史印象主义”导致的先验论和对合作的过分期许导致的信任层级相攀下降、负能量环绕的安全困境出现,给两国的合作奠定“双赢”、“互利”的基调十分重要。同时安全合作不只是本地区国家间的事务,必须注意到“外部性问题”,即域外大国的干涉和周边势力的制约。从技术角度考虑,以中国的国家利益为中心进行分析更具有合理性和可操作性;观察方式上借用了时殷弘的微观探视、实证审视、印象主义三种路径;将传统的“亚太”语境替换为“泛亚”语境,与“大周边”政策相呼应。探究中俄海洋安全战略合作首先要认识中国和俄罗斯的海洋安全地缘环境。中俄两国都是陆海复合型国家,这类国家有着不可避免的双重易受害性,易受到来自陆上和海上的双重进攻,并且两国都面临着被以美国为首的西方国家战略封堵的现实危机,海洋安全有高度的敏感性和脆弱性。中国因脆弱性而形成了防御性的传统,得到了和平发展和维护国家核心利益两个重大因素不可偏废、参与地区安全建构与维护自身利益相协调、实现与其他国家战略合作同时保证自身战略灵活性这三点经验,而俄因此脆弱性形成了进攻性的传统,面对西方国家的封堵,俄始终兵来将挡水来土掩的进行着拉锯式的斗争,俄对于海权的研究和认识都要早于、细致于中国。从力量对比、机制构建、观念塑造三个角度分析中俄海洋安全合作,涵盖了权力、制度、文化这三个层面。目前中俄实力对比的情况是中国的整体实力要强于俄罗斯。在合作过程中中国应注意不要被“盟友”关系绑架,要保持战略灵活性,用一种略带“功利主义”的眼光和“大周边”的视野来规划中俄合作。而合作的框架可以立足于“上海合作组织”机制和中、俄、东盟的三角关系构建。中俄两国之间历史上存在着误解和冲突,在合作过程中利用文化软实力,弥合分歧,促进“亲、诚、惠、容”的观念塑造也是必须考虑的。最后两国合作的定位应是减弱甚至抵消美国在西太平洋的优势地位,为两国赢得战略机遇期和战略喘息空间。俄国应借中国“一带一路”之力发展轻重工业平衡的经济,优化经济结构,避免能源陷阱。在东海、南海问题上,中国要勇于拉俄罗斯“下水”,以承诺换承诺,以俄罗斯的民族性格不会白白接受馈赠,战略互惠,有来有往反而更有利于两国健康。
[Abstract]:The strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". As a result, the cooperation produced by the combination of strategic objectives, the friction caused by the incompatibility of interests, and the complexity of relationship interaction are all very obvious. In order to avoid the decline of the level of trust caused by the transcendental theory caused by "historical impressionism" and the excessive expectation of cooperation, the strategic cooperation between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". The emergence of the security dilemma surrounded by negative energy has laid a "win-win" and "mutually beneficial" tone for the cooperation between the two countries. At the same time, security cooperation is not only a matter between countries in the region, but must pay attention to the "externality", that is, the interference of foreign powers and the restriction of surrounding forces. From the technical point of view, it is more reasonable and operable to carry out the analysis centered on China's national interests; the observation way borrows Shi Yinhong's microscopic visit, empirical examination and impressionism; the traditional "Asia-Pacific" context is replaced by the "pan-Asian" context, which echoes the policy of "Great periphery". In order to explore the strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia, we should first understand the geo-environment of marine security between China and Russia. Both China and Russia are land-sea compound countries, which are inevitably double vulnerable and vulnerable to double attacks from land and sea. Both countries are facing the realistic crisis of strategic blockage by the western countries led by the United States, and marine security is highly sensitive and fragile. Because of its vulnerability, China has formed a defensive tradition, which has gained two major factors: peaceful development and safeguarding the core interests of the state. It has been involved in the coordination of regional security construction and safeguarding its own interests, and has realized strategic cooperation with other countries while ensuring its own strategic flexibility. As a result, Russia has formed an offensive tradition and is blocked in the face of Western countries. Russia has always come to block the water to cover the soil to carry out a tug-saw struggle, Russia's research and understanding of maritime power is earlier than, meticulous than China. This paper analyzes the maritime security cooperation between China and Russia from three angles: strength comparison, mechanism construction and concept shaping, which covers the three aspects of power, system and culture. At present, the situation of strength comparison between China and Russia is that China's overall strength is stronger than Russia. In the process of cooperation, China should pay attention not to be kidnapped by "allies", maintain strategic flexibility, and plan Sino-Russian cooperation with a slightly "utilitarian" vision and a "big perimeter." The framework of cooperation can be based on the Shanghai Cooperation Organization mechanism and the triangular relationship between China, Russia and ASEAN. There are misunderstandings and conflicts between China and Russia in the history. In the process of cooperation, it is also necessary to consider how to make use of cultural soft power to bridge differences and promote the concept of "pro, sincerity, benefit, tolerance". Finally, the position of cooperation between the two countries should be to weaken or even offset the dominant position of the United States in the western Pacific, and to win the strategic opportunity period and strategic breathing space for the two countries. Russia should take advantage of China's "Belt and Road Initiative" to develop a balanced economy of light and heavy industry, optimize its economic structure and avoid energy pitfalls. On the East China Sea and South China Sea issues, China should have the courage to pull Russia into the water in exchange for a promise that Russia's national character will not accept gifts in vain, and strategic reciprocity is more conducive to the health of the two countries.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：D822.351.2
本文编号：2510611
[Abstract]:The strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". As a result, the cooperation produced by the combination of strategic objectives, the friction caused by the incompatibility of interests, and the complexity of relationship interaction are all very obvious. In order to avoid the decline of the level of trust caused by the transcendental theory caused by "historical impressionism" and the excessive expectation of cooperation, the strategic cooperation between China and Russia is under the international background of "low grid", "robustness" and "complexity". The emergence of the security dilemma surrounded by negative energy has laid a "win-win" and "mutually beneficial" tone for the cooperation between the two countries. At the same time, security cooperation is not only a matter between countries in the region, but must pay attention to the "externality", that is, the interference of foreign powers and the restriction of surrounding forces. From the technical point of view, it is more reasonable and operable to carry out the analysis centered on China's national interests; the observation way borrows Shi Yinhong's microscopic visit, empirical examination and impressionism; the traditional "Asia-Pacific" context is replaced by the "pan-Asian" context, which echoes the policy of "Great periphery". In order to explore the strategic cooperation of maritime security between China and Russia, we should first understand the geo-environment of marine security between China and Russia. Both China and Russia are land-sea compound countries, which are inevitably double vulnerable and vulnerable to double attacks from land and sea. Both countries are facing the realistic crisis of strategic blockage by the western countries led by the United States, and marine security is highly sensitive and fragile. Because of its vulnerability, China has formed a defensive tradition, which has gained two major factors: peaceful development and safeguarding the core interests of the state. It has been involved in the coordination of regional security construction and safeguarding its own interests, and has realized strategic cooperation with other countries while ensuring its own strategic flexibility. As a result, Russia has formed an offensive tradition and is blocked in the face of Western countries. Russia has always come to block the water to cover the soil to carry out a tug-saw struggle, Russia's research and understanding of maritime power is earlier than, meticulous than China. This paper analyzes the maritime security cooperation between China and Russia from three angles: strength comparison, mechanism construction and concept shaping, which covers the three aspects of power, system and culture. At present, the situation of strength comparison between China and Russia is that China's overall strength is stronger than Russia. In the process of cooperation, China should pay attention not to be kidnapped by "allies", maintain strategic flexibility, and plan Sino-Russian cooperation with a slightly "utilitarian" vision and a "big perimeter." The framework of cooperation can be based on the Shanghai Cooperation Organization mechanism and the triangular relationship between China, Russia and ASEAN. There are misunderstandings and conflicts between China and Russia in the history. In the process of cooperation, it is also necessary to consider how to make use of cultural soft power to bridge differences and promote the concept of "pro, sincerity, benefit, tolerance". Finally, the position of cooperation between the two countries should be to weaken or even offset the dominant position of the United States in the western Pacific, and to win the strategic opportunity period and strategic breathing space for the two countries. Russia should take advantage of China's "Belt and Road Initiative" to develop a balanced economy of light and heavy industry, optimize its economic structure and avoid energy pitfalls. On the East China Sea and South China Sea issues, China should have the courage to pull Russia into the water in exchange for a promise that Russia's national character will not accept gifts in vain, and strategic reciprocity is more conducive to the health of the two countries.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：D822.351.2
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前2条
1 马风书;中俄关系中的美国因素[J];当代世界社会主义问题;2002年02期
2 秦宣仁;既是独立两极,又是战略伙伴——中俄政治经济关系浅析[J];国际贸易;1998年08期
，本文编号：2510611
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/shekelunwen/guojiguanxi/2510611.html
