安徽省财政支农支出对农村居民消费的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-23 08:03

本文关键词： 财政支农支出农村居民消费农村居民收入挤入效应　出处：《安徽农业大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：我国自改革开放之后,经济呈现较快增速,群众的物质文化生活水平得到极大的提高。而面对经济全球化,各国的金融危机已不可能是一个国家的危机了,将关系到每个国家。为了应对突如其来的金融危机,各国必须构建完善的经济体制,从而使得本国经济实现平稳快速发展。我国一直以来是贸易的逆差国,出口大于进口,国内居民的消费需求明显不足。而消费作为拉动经济增长的三大动力之一,其在我国经济成长中的地位已不能被忽视。对于安徽省人口截止到2015年,常住有6143.6万,而农村达到3041.1万占全省总人口数的近50%。截止到2014年底,安徽省居民人均消费状况是,农村是6994元,城镇是12944元,后者是前者的2.75倍。两者相对比,明显看出农村消费需求不足,因此促进农村居民增加消费支出显得尤其重要。农村居民消费水平低其原因主要在于农民增收困难、医疗等社会保障体系不完备和农民住户所处地理环境等。针对以上原因解决农村居民消费不足的方法就是完善农村的社会保障体系、增加农民收入和改良农村居民所处环境,农村的许多建设是属于公共产品这都依赖财政的支持。因此,研究安徽省财政支农支出作用于农村居民消费的状况,不仅能够检验支农财政政策效果,更能为以后财政支农的调整提供参考,有利于充分发挥财政对农村发展的贡献率。本文首先,对海内外的关于财政支农对居民消费作用的探索近况作出概括介绍;其次,论述消费理论内容、政府干预经济方面理论发展进程、对居民消费存在有作用的财政政策,和这些政策的作用机理和政策对农村居民消费的递推过程机理;之后,对安徽省财政支农支出现状及农村居民消费近况介绍;然后,通过前面的理论和现状的论述,本文建立多元线性回归模型,选取1990年到2014年安徽省财政支农支出和农村居民消费的数据并进行必要的数据处理程序,再分别利用财政支农支出总量对居住于农村的居民消费作用情况,及财政支农支出构成分项对其的作用情况,这两方面进行模型计量阐述。得出安徽省农村居民,其收入对其消费具有拉上作用,安徽省财政支出中用于支农的总额,及支农支出各构成项中的农村投资性支出项对安徽省其消费均存在挤入效应;最后,通过财政支农支出和农村居民消费近况分析和实证分析,发现关于安徽省财政在支农支出上和安徽省农村居民消费方面所存在得现实问题。且针对于所发现的问题,本文分别从稳定扩展财政支农支出范围、提升财政支农所用资金运用效率、农村居民收入稳定增加及改善农村群众消费环境等方面给予关于安徽省财政支农支出促进农村居民消费支出增长的实质性建议,从而促进我省于农村消费规模不断扩大。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economy has been growing rapidly, and the material and cultural living standards of the masses have been greatly improved. However, in the face of economic globalization, the financial crisis of various countries can no longer be a national crisis. In order to deal with the sudden financial crisis, all countries must build a perfect economic system so that their economy can achieve stable and rapid development. China has always been a trade deficit country. Exports are larger than imports, and the consumption demand of domestic residents is obviously insufficient. Consumption is one of the three driving forces to stimulate economic growth. Its status in China's economic growth can no longer be ignored. As of 2015, the population of Anhui Province has a permanent residence of sixty-one million four hundred and thirty-six thousand. By end of 2014, the per capita consumption of Anhui residents was 6994 yuan in rural areas and 12944 yuan in towns. The latter is 2.75 times of the former. Therefore, it is particularly important to promote rural residents to increase their consumption expenditure. The main reason for the low level of rural residents' consumption lies in the difficulty of increasing farmers' income. Medical and other social security system is not complete and farmers live in the geographical environment and so on. To solve the problem of insufficient consumption of rural residents is to improve the rural social security system. To increase farmers' income and improve the environment of rural residents, many rural construction belongs to public goods which depend on the financial support. It can not only test the effect of supporting agriculture fiscal policy, but also provide a reference for the adjustment of financial support to agriculture in the future, and help to give full play to the contribution of finance to rural development. First of all, this paper. This paper gives a brief introduction to the current situation of the exploration on the role of fiscal support for agriculture to the consumption of residents at home and abroad. Secondly, it discusses the content of consumption theory, government intervention in the development of economic aspects of the process of theoretical development, consumer consumption has a role in the fiscal policy. And the function mechanism of these policies and the recursive process mechanism of the policies to rural residents' consumption; After that, the paper introduces the current situation of financial support for agriculture in Anhui Province and the current situation of rural residents' consumption. Then, through the previous theory and the current situation discussion, this paper establishes the multivariate linear regression model. From 1990 to 2014, the data of Anhui Province's fiscal support for agriculture and rural residents' consumption were selected and the necessary data processing procedures were carried out. And then the use of the total amount of financial support for agriculture to live in the rural residents of the role of consumption, and the composition of financial expenditure on the role of agriculture. It is concluded that the income of rural residents in Anhui Province plays an important role in their consumption, and the total amount of financial expenditure in Anhui Province is used to support agriculture. And the rural investment expenditure items in each component item of supporting agriculture expenditure have the crowding effect on the consumption of Anhui Province; Finally, through the financial support for agriculture expenditure and rural residents consumption situation analysis and empirical analysis. We find that there are some practical problems on the expenditure of supporting agriculture in Anhui Province and the consumption of rural residents in Anhui Province. And in view of the problems found, this paper expands the scope of expenditure of fiscal support for agriculture from a stable perspective. Improve the efficiency of the use of financial funds to support agriculture. The steady increase of rural residents' income and the improvement of the consumption environment of rural residents were given substantive suggestions on Anhui Province's fiscal expenditure to support agriculture and promote the growth of rural residents' consumption expenditure. In order to promote our province in the rural consumption scale continues to expand.
【学位授予单位】：安徽农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F323.8;F812.8

【参考文献】