贫困特征综合分析研究

发布时间：2018-02-24 09:06

本文关键词： 贫困云南片区聚类分析对应分析固定效应模型　出处：《云南大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：贫困既是人类社会发展过程中的经济问题,亦是影响因素复杂的综合性社会问题。也就是说,区域的贫困状况是在经济、社会、自然、文化等诸多元素共同作用下形成的。因此,贫困特征分析的不同将会对扶贫开发政策的制定和实施效果产生差异影响。在此背景下,因地制宜的差异化策显得尤为重要。若要研究农村贫困问题的特征、归结农村扶贫开发面临的各种主要影响因素,并进一步探讨如何提高政策的瞄准度,则必须充分研究整个扶贫开发系统所涉及的自然禀赋和社会人口、经济等地域性差异。当前基于国家层面或者省级层面的贫困现象研究往往忽视了地区特有的自然、经济、社会文化等个性化特点。因此,利用微观层面数据,全面综合地考虑特定贫困地区的农村贫困主要特征对于制定有效的扶贫开发政策,巩固已有的扶贫开发成果有重要意义。这将对更好地改善农村居民生活水平和实现城乡居民共同富裕产生非常积极的影响。本文将从云南特殊困难连片地区的农村贫困现状分析出发,首先利用指数分析法对片区农村贫困特征进行个性化定量分析,发现各片区间存在着的差异是显著的；进一步地,选择将经济、教育、社会保障等各个方面变量,构建出片区贫困测度的综合指标体系,通过聚类分析和对应分析法发现各个片区贫困的主要成因；接着,进一步利用面板数据特征分析方法中的固定效应模型建立消费函数模型,再次证实各片区之间贫困特征存在显著差异性,并对未来贫困发生的可能性作出了预测,以期得到更为准确的综合特征分析结果。研究结论表明,云南片区贫困特征差异性明显,需要实施差异化扶贫开发战,才能取得更好的政策效果。最后,本文根据研究结论有针对性地提出了一些差异化扶贫对策建议。
[Abstract]:Poverty is not only an economic problem in the course of the development of human society, but also a comprehensive social problem with complex influencing factors. Therefore, different analysis of poverty characteristics will have a different impact on the formulation and implementation of pro-poor development policies. If we want to study the characteristics of rural poverty, sum up the main factors of poverty alleviation and development in rural areas, and further explore how to improve the targeting of the policy. Then we must fully study the natural endowment, social population, economic and other regional differences involved in the whole system of poverty alleviation and development. The current research on poverty at the national or provincial level often ignores the specific nature and economy of the region. Therefore, comprehensive and comprehensive consideration of the main characteristics of rural poverty in specific poor areas is helpful to the formulation of effective policies for poverty alleviation and development. It is of great significance to consolidate the existing achievements in poverty alleviation and development, which will have a very positive impact on improving the living standards of rural residents and realizing the common prosperity of urban and rural residents. Based on the analysis of the current situation of rural poverty in Yunnan Province, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the characteristics of rural poverty by means of index analysis, and finds that the differences among the regions are significant. Choose the variables of economy, education, social security and so on, construct the comprehensive index system of poverty measurement in the region, and find out the main causes of poverty in each region by cluster analysis and correspondence analysis. Furthermore, the fixed effect model of panel data feature analysis is used to establish the consumption function model, which proves once again that there are significant differences in poverty characteristics among different regions, and forecasts the possibility of poverty in the future. The conclusion of the study shows that the characteristics of poverty in Yunnan are quite different, so we need to carry out the war of differentiated poverty alleviation and development in order to achieve better policy effect. According to the conclusions of the study, this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions for differential poverty alleviation.
【学位授予单位】：云南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：D632

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