新生代农民工住房消费影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-03-04 02:30

本文选题：城镇化　切入点：新生代农民工　出处：《长沙理工大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着改革开放进程的不断推进,社会经济突飞猛进,城镇化水平全面提升。农村剩余劳动力持续大规模向城市转移,农民工人口基数加大。基于代际更替,新生代农民工成为建设国家、繁荣城市的主要推动力量,但现实情况是,新生代农民工与老一代农民工面临相同的困境,在城市无法获得基本居住权,劳动强度与收入水平严重不匹配。住房问题作为关切民生的基本问题,直接关乎农民工的生活质量和社会政治活动,改善新生代农民工住房状况、促进新生代农民工合理有序迁移,成为推动社会产业结构升级、优化调整社会群体利益格局、推进我国城镇化发展的有效保证。另外,新生代农民工作为住房消费市场中一支不可忽视的年轻力量,是拉动内需促进国家经济发展的主要动力。新生代农民工有着强烈的留城定居意愿,是最容易市民化的群体。换言之,研究这一群体住房消费特征,对于监测流动人口迁移特征,激发新生代农民工住房消费潜力,帮助完成新生代农民工由农业到非农业身份的过渡有积极的意义。因此,本文以新生代农民工为重点研究对象,以湖南省计生委流动人口动态监测数据为基础,分析新生代农民工住房消费现状及存在的问题,再辅以湖南省地区实地调研数据,建立Logit二元回归模型,实证分析新生代农民工住房消费影响因素,最后构建提振新生代农民工住房消费的政策模型和帮助愿景。本文研究结果表明,新生代农民工住房消费影响因素错综复杂,相互交叉。收入、年龄、定居意愿……等,对新生代农民工住房消费有显著影响。与其他研究结论不同,实证发现,住房公积金成为影响新生代农民工住房消费的关键变量,进一步研究发现,可能原因在于,一是新生代农民工在城市的收入水平普遍不高,为避免不确定性事件风险,预防性储蓄动机加强,完善的社会保障制度相当于给消费者带来稳定的预期收入,因而住房公积金带来的财富效应大于收入效应；二是与老一代农民工主要就职于劳动密集型建筑领域,流动性、短期性不同,新生代农民工从事行业分散,呈现资本密集趋势,工厂宿舍及单位私房成为获取城市住房的主要模式,对包括住房公积金等在内的住房保障政策有更高期待。笔者认为要改善农民工住房消费状况,提升农民工住房消费能力,要从农民工住房问题的根源出发,首先深化户籍制度改革,大胆冲破城乡二元经济结构束缚；其次要有步骤有目标完善我国住房保障制度,尤其是扩大我国住房公积金覆盖面,顺应农民工留城定居意愿,规范农民工住房市场；最后,要大力发挥企业的作用,加强企业对农民工问题的责任意识。
[Abstract]:With the continuous progress of reform and opening up, the social economy is advancing by leaps and bounds, the level of urbanization has been comprehensively raised, the rural surplus labor force continues to be transferred to cities on a large scale, and the population base of migrant workers is enlarged. The new generation of migrant workers have become the main driving force for building a country and prosperous cities, but the reality is that the new generation of migrant workers and the old generation of migrant workers face the same predicament and cannot obtain the basic right of residence in the city. The housing problem, as a basic concern for people's livelihood, is directly related to the quality of life and social and political activities of migrant workers, and to improving the housing situation of the new generation of migrant workers. Promoting the rational and orderly migration of the new generation of migrant workers has become an effective guarantee to promote the upgrading of the social industrial structure, optimize and adjust the pattern of interests of social groups, and promote the development of urbanization in China. As a young force in the housing consumption market, the new generation of migrant workers is the main driving force to stimulate domestic demand and promote the national economic development. The new generation of migrant workers have a strong willingness to stay in the city and settle down. In other words, to study the housing consumption characteristics of this group, to monitor the migration characteristics of the floating population and to stimulate the housing consumption potential of the new generation of migrant workers, It is of positive significance to help complete the transition from agriculture to non-agricultural identity of the new generation of migrant workers. Therefore, this paper focuses on the new generation of migrant workers, based on the dynamic monitoring data of floating population of Hunan Provincial Family Planning Commission. This paper analyzes the current situation and existing problems of the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers, and then establishes the dual regression model of Logit with the field investigation data of Hunan Province, and empirically analyzes the influencing factors of the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. Finally, we construct the policy model and help vision to boost the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. The research results show that the influence factors of the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers are complex and intersecting, such as income, age, settlement willingness, etc. It has significant influence on the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. Different from other research conclusions, it is found that housing accumulation fund is the key variable that affects the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. First, the income level of the new generation of migrant workers in cities is generally not high. In order to avoid the risk of uncertain events, precautionary savings motives are strengthened, and a perfect social security system is equivalent to bringing stable expected income to consumers. Therefore, the wealth effect brought by the housing accumulation fund is greater than the income effect. Second, with the older generation of migrant workers mainly working in the labor-intensive construction field, different from the mobility and short-term nature, the new generation of migrant workers are engaged in scattered industries, showing a capital-intensive trend. Factory dormitories and private housing units have become the main mode of obtaining urban housing, and they have higher expectations for housing security policies, including housing provident funds. The author believes that the housing consumption situation of migrant workers should be improved and their housing consumption capacity should be enhanced. Starting from the root of the housing problem of migrant workers, first of all, we should deepen the reform of the household registration system and break through the constraints of the dual economic structure between urban and rural areas. Secondly, we should aim to improve our housing security system step by step, especially to expand the coverage of our country's housing accumulation fund. To comply with the willingness of migrant workers to stay in the city to settle down, regulate the housing market of migrant workers; finally, we should give full play to the role of enterprises, and strengthen the responsibility of enterprises to the problem of migrant workers.
【学位授予单位】：长沙理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F323.6;F323.8

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