民生财政支出结构对城乡居民消费的效应研究

发布时间：2018-03-21 10:14

本文选题：民生财政　切入点：居民消费　出处：《商业研究》2015年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：近年来我国居民最终消费率持续走低的一个重要原因是民生财政投入不足。本文利用1998-2006年和2007-2012年两期省级面板数据集,对民生财政及其结构对城乡居民消费支出的影响进行实证考察,结果显示:民生财政对居民消费支出增长有显著促进效果,其中教育支出对居民消费存在较为显著的挤入效应,医疗卫生支出对居民消费的影响由前期挤出效应转变为后期挤入效应,社保就业支出对城乡消费支出的正向促进作用不显著;相比乡村居民的消费增长,教育和医疗财政支出对城镇居民消费的影响更为显著。因此,应切实提升城乡居民最终消费率的增长,不仅要进一步加大对民生财政投入的支持力度,还应注重优化民生财政支出的结构,推进基本公共服务均等化,努力挖掘城乡居民消费潜在增长点。
[Abstract]:In recent years, one of the important reasons why the final consumption rate of Chinese residents has been declining is the insufficient financial input for people's livelihood. This paper uses two provincial panel data sets from 1998 to 2006 and from 2007 to 2012. This paper makes an empirical study on the influence of people's livelihood finance and its structure on the consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents. The results show that people's livelihood finance has a significant effect on the growth of residents' consumption expenditure, and education expenditure has a significant crowding effect on residents' consumption. The effect of medical and health expenditure on residents' consumption changed from pre-extrusion effect to late-stage crowding effect. The positive promotion effect of social security employment expenditure on urban and rural consumption expenditure was not significant; compared with rural residents' consumption growth, social security employment expenditure had no positive effect on urban and rural consumption expenditure. Financial expenditure on education and medical care has a more significant impact on the consumption of urban and rural residents. Therefore, the growth of the final consumption rate of urban and rural residents should be effectively promoted, and not only should we further increase the support for financial input to the people's livelihood, We should also pay attention to optimize the structure of public expenditure, promote the equalization of basic public services, and make great efforts to tap the potential growth point of urban and rural residents' consumption.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院;
【基金】：上海财经大学博士研究生教育创新项目“营改增对行业税负的影响问题研究”,项目编号:CXJJ-2013-400
【分类号】：F812.45;F126.1

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