工资增长、生育率差异与人力资本积累——基于内生生育和退休的动态一般均衡研究

发布时间：2018-04-03 19:31

本文选题：生育率　切入点：人力资本　出处：《金融研究》2017年03期

【摘要】：本文结合我国收入不平等程度较高、计划生育政策放松和工资增速转变等特点,研究了工资增长对劳动力质量的影响。研究表明,生育行为受生育数量和老年闲暇的替代关系影响,低收入群体生育率较高,质量投入较低,退休也较晚,于是工资增长将通过生育率差异影响人力资本积累。通过对转移动态的定量评估,本文建议为缓解社保资金压力,政府应在短期选择延迟退休年龄和提高社会保障税率、在长期选择继续延迟退休年龄和降低社会保障税率的政策组合。
[Abstract]:Based on the characteristics of high income inequality, relaxation of family planning policy and change of wage growth rate in China, this paper studies the influence of wage growth on the quality of labor force.The research shows that fertility behavior is affected by the substitution relationship of fertility quantity and leisure time of the elderly. The low income group has higher fertility rate, lower quality investment and later retirement. Therefore, wage increase will affect human capital accumulation through fertility difference.Through the quantitative evaluation of the transfer dynamics, this paper suggests that in order to alleviate the pressure on social security funds, the government should choose to delay retirement age and raise social security tax rate in the short term.In the long term choose to continue to delay the retirement age and reduce the social security tax rate policy mix.
【作者单位】：中山大学岭南学院;北京外国语大学国际商学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(16ZDA005) 国家自然科学基金项目(71503102)、国家自然科学基金项目(71403028) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(14YJC790040) 广东省自然科学基金项目(2015A030310147)资助北京外国语大学青年学术创新团队支持计划(2015JT005)资助北京大学“985”项目资助
【分类号】：C924.21;F249.2

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