我国社会保障支出对城镇居民消费的影响研究

发布时间：2019-02-26 21:20

【摘要】：在全球经济增速放缓的背景下,扩大内需是我国经济稳定持续发展的主要推动力。和世界具有代表性的国家相比,我国的居民消费率偏低且有继续走弱的趋势。社会保障是我国维护社会稳定和促进经济发展的重要一环,社会保障支出是我国社会保障制度执行情况的具体体现,它能够增加居民一生的收入、调节居民的不确定性预期等等,从而在一定程度上影响我国居民消费。我国城镇人口于2011年首次超过农村人口,在我国城镇化进程的加速推进的背景下,未来的农村人口还将不断转化为城镇人口。因此,研究社会保障支出与城镇居民消费之间的关系,来探寻提高城镇居民消费水平的途径具有重要的现实意义。本文基于国家东、中、西部三大经济带的划分,采用面板数据模型来研究我国社会保障支出对城镇居民消费的影响,以期望从社会保障支出的角度寻求提高城镇居民消费水平的途径。本文主要包括了以下几个方面的内容:本文搜集整理了 1993-2013年城镇社会保障支出、城镇居民消费支出、城镇居民的资产存量和城镇居民可支配收入的数据,对我国目前城镇社会保障支出的现状、城镇居民消费水平的现状进行了具体分析,发现我国城镇社会保障支出与居民消费具有一定的相关性。通过社会保障支出与居民消费关系的理论分析总结了社会保障支出对居民消费产生影响的作用机理。应用Stata统计软件进行了相关的实证分析,得到社会保障支出对城镇居民的消费的影响作用是正向并且显著的。最后本文针对实证分析的结果,提出改善目前我国城镇社会保障现状建议对策,以促进社会保障支出发挥更好的作用,满足居民更高层次的保障需求,以达到提高城镇居民消费水平的目的。
[Abstract]:Under the background of slowing global economic growth, expanding domestic demand is the main driving force of stable and sustainable development of China's economy. Compared with the representative countries in the world, the resident consumption rate of our country is low and has the trend of continuing to weaken. Social security is an important link in maintaining social stability and promoting economic development in China. Social security expenditure is a concrete embodiment of the implementation of the social security system in China, and it can increase the income of residents throughout their lives. Adjust the uncertain expectations of residents, and so on, so as to affect the consumption of Chinese residents to a certain extent. The urban population of our country exceeds the rural population for the first time in 2011. Under the background of the acceleration of urbanization in China, the future rural population will continue to transform into the urban population. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study the relationship between social security expenditure and urban residents' consumption in order to explore the ways to improve the level of urban residents' consumption. Based on the division of the three economic zones in the east, middle and west of China, this paper uses panel data model to study the influence of social security expenditure on the consumption of urban residents in China. To look for ways to improve the consumption level of urban residents from the angle of social security expenditure. This paper mainly includes the following aspects: this paper collected and sorted out the data of urban social security expenditure, consumption expenditure of urban residents, assets stock of urban residents and disposable income of urban residents from 1993 to 2013. This paper analyzes the current situation of urban social security expenditure and the consumption level of urban residents in China, and finds that the urban social security expenditure in China is related to the consumption of residents to a certain extent. Through the theoretical analysis of the relationship between social security expenditure and residents' consumption, this paper summarizes the mechanism of the influence of social security expenditure on residents' consumption. By using Stata statistical software, the empirical analysis shows that the influence of social security expenditure on the consumption of urban residents is positive and significant. Finally, according to the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some countermeasures to improve the current situation of urban social security in China, in order to promote the social security expenditure to play a better role, to meet the higher level of security needs of the residents. In order to achieve the purpose of improving the consumption level of urban residents.
【学位授予单位】：湖北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：D632.1;F812.45;F126.1

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