家庭发展能力测度及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-02-16 19:21

本文关键词： 家庭发展能力测度微观多维度层析分析序次Logistic回归影响因素　出处：《河北大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：家庭是社会系统的重要子系统，是社会的基本单元，更是每一个人生存、生活和发展的微观环境。在所有社会组织中，家庭对社会经济生活变化的反应最为敏感，也最为迅速。社会发展日益现代化、多元化、快捷化，家庭在享受日益现代、快捷、方便、多元化服务的同时，也面临着快速发展的社会所带来的各种风险、压力、挑战甚至威胁。随着社会变迁和人口转变，家庭在发展过程中也发生了显著地变化，主要体现在家庭规模小型化、家庭类型核心化、家庭功能弱化、家庭结构简单化、家庭形态多样化等，，家庭适应社会发展，抵御社会风险，维持家庭稳定和促进家庭及其成员发展的能力就属于家庭发展能力。 “家庭发展能力”是新近提出的概念，对这方面的理论研究还比较少。目前的研究还仅仅涉及了概念的界定和内涵的把握上。本文以国家“十二五”规划纲要首次将“提高家庭发展能力”纳入其中为背景，以2010-2011年中国家庭追踪调查（CFPS）数据为依据，通过数据整理和修复，用定量分析与定性分析相结合的方法，具体采用微观多维度层次分析法，对被调查地区样本家庭户的家庭发展能力进行测度，并将家庭发展能力分为五个等级，对家庭发展能力的现状进行描述，对其影响因素做定量分析。论文内容主要包括：第一，阐述研究背景，表明研究目的和意义，对相关文献进行归纳总结，介绍本文的研究对象、方法、思路、内容、理论基础和创新点。第二，对本文使用的数据来源、数据整理的过程做简要介绍，并对样本家庭户的基本状况进行描述分析，包括分地区、城乡的家庭分布，人口状况以及家庭收支状况。第三，建立评价家庭发展能力的指标体系，利用微观多维度层次分析法结合专家评分对各指标赋权，以数据整理和分析为基础，计算出家庭发展能力综合指数，并对家庭发展能力进行等级分类。第四，利用家庭发展能力的测度结果，选取合适自变量，采用序次Logistic回归对家庭发展能力的影响因素进行实证分析，并结合实际提出建议和对策。
[Abstract]:The family is an important subsystem of the social system, the basic unit of society, and the microenvironment in which everyone lives, lives and develops. Of all social organizations, families are the most responsive to changes in social and economic life, It is also the fastest. Social development is increasingly modern, diversified and rapid. While families are enjoying increasingly modern, fast, convenient and diversified services, they are also facing all kinds of risks and pressures brought about by a rapidly developing society. Challenges and even threats. With social changes and demographic changes, the family has also undergone significant changes in the process of development, mainly reflected in the family size miniaturization, family type core, family function weakened, family structure simplified, The ability of family to adapt to social development, resist social risks, maintain family stability and promote the development of family and its members belongs to the ability of family development. "capacity for Family Development" is a new concept, There are few theoretical studies on this aspect. The current research only involves the definition of the concept and the grasp of the connotation. This paper takes the "improving the ability of family development" as the background of the national "12th Five-Year Plan" program for the first time. Based on the data of China Family tracking Survey (CFPS) in 2010-2011, through data collation and repair, the method of combining quantitative analysis with qualitative analysis is used, and the microcosmic multi-dimensional analytic hierarchy process is used concretely. This paper measures the family development ability of the sample families in the investigated area, and divides the family development ability into five levels, describes the present situation of the family development ability, and makes quantitative analysis on the influencing factors. The main contents of this paper are as follows: first, expound the research background, show the purpose and significance of the research, summarize the relevant literature, introduce the research object, method, thought, content, theoretical basis and innovation. The data sources used in this paper, the process of data collation are briefly introduced, and the basic situation of sample households is described and analyzed, including the distribution of households in different regions, urban and rural areas, population status and household income and expenditure. Third, The index system of evaluating family development ability is established, and the comprehensive index of family development ability is calculated based on data collation and analysis by using microcosmic multi-dimension analytic hierarchy process and expert score to empower each index. The author also classifies the ability of family development by rank. 4th, selects appropriate independent variables by using the measurement results of family development ability, and makes an empirical analysis on the influencing factors of family development ability by order Logistic regression. And put forward suggestions and countermeasures combined with the actual situation.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：C913.1

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