职业代际继承与流动:基于中国人口普查数据的实证分析

发布时间：2018-05-26 06:47

本文选题：职业代际流动 + 职业继承　；参考：《劳动经济研究》2017年06期

【摘要】：本文使用2000年全国人口普查和2005年1%人口抽样调查微观样本数据,实证分析了中国当代职业代际继承与流动的变化。研究发现:第一,职业代际向上流动率在1950-1959年、1960-1969年、1970-1979年及1980-1989年出生的劳动者群体中分别为11.5%、15.6%、18.6%和20.8%,累计上升比例高达81%,劳动者变得越来越拥有更多提升自身社会经济阶层的机会。第二,Mixed Logit模型回归结果表明,父亲职业对于子女选择相同职业的影响力度从1950-1959年出生劳动者中的26.4%降至1980-1989年出生劳动者中的16.0%,并且中国不同地区间职业代际流动性仍存在较大差异。因此,未来仍有必要根据不同地域特点和人口构成特征,保护和加强代际流动渠道的畅通,缩小收入差距,使人民在制度改革与社会进步中有更充分的获得感。
[Abstract]:Based on the microcosmic sample data of 2000 national census and 1% population sampling survey in 2005, this paper empirically analyzes the changes of contemporary occupational intergenerational inheritance and mobility in China. The results show that: first, the upward mobility rate of occupational intergenerational in 1950-1959, 1960-1969, 1970-1979 and 1980-1989 was 11.5% and 20.8%, respectively, and the cumulative rate of increase was as high as 81%, and the workers became more and more able to improve their social and economic strata. The regression results of the second mixed Logit model show that, The influence of father occupation on children's choice of the same occupation decreased from 26.4% of workers born in 1950-1959 to 16.0% of workers born in 1980-1989, and there are still great differences in intergenerational mobility among different regions in China. Therefore, in the future, it is still necessary to protect and strengthen the smooth flow of intergenerational channels according to the characteristics of different regions and population composition, to narrow the income gap, and to make the people have a fuller sense of acquisition in the process of system reform and social progress.
【作者单位】：中国农业大学经济管理学院;中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“当代我国代际职业流动成因及对策研究”(项目编号:14CJY018)的资助
【分类号】：C913.2

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