奥巴马政府的对朝政策研究

发布时间：2018-04-11 01:34

本文选题：奥巴马政府 + 对朝政策　；参考：《当代亚太》2015年06期

【摘要】：通过从政策内容、背景及成效三个方面对奥巴马政府对朝政策的研究成果进行梳理,文章发现,当前学界对这一问题的研究存在三个方面的不足:一是"战略忍耐"不足以概括奥巴马政府对朝政策的全部内容;二是对奥巴马政府制定对朝政策的原因解释仍停留在美朝双边层面;三是对奥巴马政府的朝鲜政策对中国造成的影响缺乏系统研究。为弥补上述不足,文章在政策内容的界定方面构建了"四位一体"框架,即从多边层面、同盟层面、美中层面以及单边层面概括了奥巴马政府对朝政策的主要内容;在政策制定的原因解释方面,文章引入了政策环境因素,通过探讨朝鲜半岛和东北亚区域环境出现的新变化,以期更全面地解释奥巴马政府对朝政策的成因;在政策成效方面,对奥巴马政府的朝鲜政策对中国造成的影响做出了判断。最后,文章总结了奥巴马政府对朝政策与前任政府存在的区别,并对其剩余任期的对朝政策走向做出了大致预测。
[Abstract]:Through combing the research results of the Obama administration on the DPRK policy from three aspects of policy content, background and effect, the article finds thatThere are three deficiencies in the current academic research on this issue: first, "strategic tolerance" is not enough to summarize the whole content of Obama administration's policy towards North Korea;The second is that the reasons for the Obama administration's policy toward North Korea still remain at the bilateral level, and the third is the lack of systematic research on the impact of the Obama administration's North Korea policy on China.In order to make up for the above deficiencies, the article constructs the "four-in-one" framework in the definition of policy content, that is, from the multilateral level, the alliance level, the United States and China level and unilateral level to summarize the main contents of Obama administration's policy towards North Korea;In terms of the explanation of the reasons for the policy making, the article introduces the policy environment factor, through discussing the new changes in the environment of the Korean Peninsula and the Northeast Asia region, in order to explain more comprehensively the causes of the Obama administration's policy toward the DPRK;The impact of the Obama administration's North Korea policy on China has been judged.Finally, the paper summarizes the differences between the Obama administration's policy towards North Korea and his predecessor's, and makes a rough prediction of the direction of his policy toward North Korea for the rest of his term.
【作者单位】：吉林大学行政学院;河北金融学院社科部;
【基金】：2013年国家社科基金重点项目“东北亚地缘政治局势新变化与中国的战略应对研究”(项目编号:13AGJ003)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：D871.2

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