乌克兰危机背景下欧盟对俄制裁的分析:基于观众成本的视角

发布时间：2018-04-21 00:17

本文选题：欧盟 + 制裁　；参考：《德国研究》2015年01期

【摘要】：乌克兰危机之后,欧盟对俄罗斯采取了一系列制裁措施,本文通过观众成本视角来解释欧盟为何对俄罗斯采取制裁措施以及带来的制裁与反制裁政策的两难境地。文章首先论述制裁研究现状及观众成本与制裁研究的关系,其次阐述欧盟制裁政策的制度基础、政策参与者和微观机制,采用观众成本视角解释欧盟对俄罗斯的制裁政策,即欧盟内部观众、欧盟盟友及乌克兰观众如何影响欧盟对俄制裁,这种影响不仅会体现在欧盟对俄罗斯制裁的时间跨度上,还会影响到制裁的终止及强化。最后文章基于观众成本,特别是俄罗斯的国内观众成本,分析欧盟制裁与俄罗斯反制裁的困境。本文认为,观众成本为决策者在制裁政策中提供了博弈的机会,而博弈的结果取决于对观众成本的评估。
[Abstract]:After the crisis in Ukraine, the European Union adopted a series of sanctions against Russia. This paper explains why the EU has taken sanctions against Russia and the dilemma between sanctions and anti-sanctions policy through the perspective of audience cost. This paper first discusses the current situation of sanctions research and the relationship between audience cost and sanctions research, then expounds the institutional basis of EU sanctions policy, policy participants and micro mechanism, and explains the EU sanctions policy against Russia from the perspective of spectator cost. In other words, the influence of EU internal audience, EU allies and Ukrainian audience on EU sanctions against Russia will not only be reflected in the time span of EU sanctions against Russia, but also affect the termination and strengthening of sanctions. Finally, based on the audience cost, especially the domestic audience cost of Russia, the paper analyzes the difficulties of EU sanctions and Russian anti-sanctions. This paper holds that the audience cost provides the decision maker with an opportunity to play games in the sanctions policy, and the result of the game depends on the evaluation of the audience cost.
【作者单位】：柏林自由大学政治学院;
【分类号】：D815

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