南海危机与地区视野下的预防性外交——兼论中国的战略选择

发布时间：2018-05-07 13:43

本文选题：南海危机 + 预防性外交　；参考：《外交评论(外交学院学报)》2015年04期

【摘要】：当前,南海地区正处于"脆弱的平衡"态势被打破、新的战略均衡尚未形成的历史阶段。南海问题的特性和南海危机情势的发展决定了南海冲突难以避免。为有效、适度地管控长期处于不安全状态、不确定性有增无减的南海危机,加强各方对预防性外交的共同认知,从目标、风险、手段、规范和机制等方面入手,着眼于地区视野开展南海预防性外交尤为必要。作为南海争端的声索方和地区安全的利益攸关方,中国应改变以往被动反应的行为模式,综合运用"消极"的预防性外交与"积极"的地区合作两种方式,以议程为导向,构建多元、多层的结构和进程。
[Abstract]:At present, the South China Sea is in the "fragile balance" situation is broken, the new strategic equilibrium has not yet been formed in the historical stage. The characteristics of the South China Sea problem and the development of the crisis situation in the South China Sea make it difficult to avoid the South China Sea conflict. In order to effectively and moderately manage the South China Sea crisis, which has been in a state of insecurity for a long time and with increasing uncertainty, and to strengthen the common understanding of preventive diplomacy among all parties, we should start with objectives, risks, means, norms and mechanisms, etc. It is particularly necessary to develop preventive diplomacy in the South China Sea from a regional perspective. As a claimant in the South China Sea dispute and as a stakeholder in regional security, China should change its previous reactive behaviour patterns and use both "passive" preventive diplomacy and "positive" regional cooperation as an agenda oriented approach. Build multiple, multi-tier structures and processes.
【作者单位】：外交学院亚洲研究所;
【基金】：2015年“中国—东盟思想库网络专项研究”项目“南海问题与预防性外交”(项目号:NACT201515)的资助北京对外交流与外事管理研究基地成果,受北京市教育委员会专项资助
【分类号】：D822.3

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