道义、合法性与国家实力——1592至1662年东亚朝贡体系中的权力转移研究

发布时间：2018-05-23 18:22

本文选题：实力 + 道义　；参考：《国际政治科学》2017年03期

【摘要】：1592—1662年的东亚朝贡体系处于一个大危机时代,作为主导国的明朝先后受到日本和清朝(包括后金时期)的挑战,但在晚明权势衰微已成必然的情况下,明朝政府依然承受住多次冲击,直到最后才实现权力转移,这一现象值得深思。受权力转移理论和道义现实主义理论启发,本文从主导国自身探讨权力转移,将一国对内对外的道义水平作为干预变量,将内部的稳定/合法性与国家实力作为自变量,对晚明时期朝贡体系中的权力转移个案进行比较和分析,发现了被传统权力转移理论所忽视的另一种情况,即主导国自身的权力衰退同样会导致主导国与崛起国的权力关系发生逆转。在主导国国内政权不稳和综合实力受损的情况下,如果其不实行道义,就会加剧自身合法性的丧失和实力的衰退,在面对外来威胁和挑战时,也就无法组织有效的反抗,导致权力转移不可避免。
[Abstract]:The tribute system of East Asia in 1592-1662 was in a great crisis era. The Ming Dynasty, as the leading country, was challenged successively by Japan and the Qing Dynasty (including the later Jin Dynasty), but the decline of power in the late Ming Dynasty was inevitable. The Ming government still withstood many shocks until the end of the power transfer, this phenomenon is worth pondering. Inspired by the theory of power transfer and the theory of moral realism, this paper discusses the power transfer from the leading country itself, taking the moral level of a country inside and outside as an intervention variable, taking internal stability / legitimacy and national strength as independent variables. Through the comparison and analysis of the cases of power transfer in the tributary system in the late Ming Dynasty, another situation neglected by the traditional theory of power transfer was found. The power decline of the dominant country itself also leads to a reversal of the power relationship between the leading country and the rising power state. In the case of instability in the domestic power of the leading country and damage to its comprehensive strength, if it does not exercise morality, it will exacerbate the loss of its own legitimacy and the decline of its strength, and it will be unable to organize effective resistance in the face of external threats and challenges. The transfer of power is inevitable.
【作者单位】：暨南大学国际关系学院/华侨华人研究院;
【分类号】：D831

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