阿巴边界“黑洞”与中巴经济走廊的路线困境

发布时间：2018-06-14 07:40

本文选题：杜兰德线 + 黑洞　；参考：《阿拉伯世界研究》2015年05期

【摘要】：阿巴边界"黑洞",是指阿巴国际边界杜兰德线存在理论与现实间的严重错位,以至于阿巴边界产生巨大安全漏洞,无法填补,且是庇护反政府势力的天堂,犹如黑洞。它根源于英国殖民者建立的英属印度西北"科学边界",成形于巴基斯坦基于杜兰德线建国,影响深远。阿巴边界矛盾爆发,阿巴政府分别择时利用"黑洞"对反政府势力的庇护功能,培植对方敌对势力,与此相应,它不但使得"普什图问题"和"俾路支问题"成为巴方痼疾,而且导致苏美深陷阿富汗战争泥潭,以及塔利班等极端势力的兴起。当前,"黑洞"正向中巴经济走廊产生影响,具体表现在"西线"与"东线"之争上。鉴于KP省、FATA和俾路支省的坚定立场,巴政府提出"多线"方案,将抉择困境之球踢给中国。藉此,中巴经济走廊建设,如何避免陷入"黑洞",值得中国人深思。
[Abstract]:The "black hole" of the Arab-Palestinian border refers to the serious dislocation between the theory of existence and the reality of the Durand line of the Arab-Palestinian international boundary, so that the Arab-Palestinian border produces a huge security loophole, which cannot be filled up, and is a haven for anti-government forces, just like a black hole. It originated from the "scientific boundary" of British Northwest India established by the British colonists, and formed in Pakistan based on the Durand Line, which has far-reaching influence. The Arab-Pakistani border conflict broke out, and the Arab-Pakistani government took advantage of the "black hole" to protect the anti-government forces and cultivate the opposing hostile forces respectively. Accordingly, it not only made the "Pashtun issue" and the "Baloch issue" a chronic disease of the Palestinian side. And led to the Soviet Union and the US deep in the war in Afghanistan, and the rise of extremist forces such as the Taliban. At present, the black hole is exerting an influence on the economic corridor of CMB, which is manifested in the dispute between the West Line and the Eastern Line. Given the firm stance of Kraft province FATA and Baluchistan, the government has proposed a "multi-line" plan to kick the ball of choice to China. Thus, how to avoid falling into a "black hole" in the construction of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is worth pondering by the Chinese.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学冷战国际史研究中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金特别委托项目“中国周边国家对华关系档案收集与历史研究”(15@zh009) 2015年教育部青年项目“阿巴边界问题研究”阶段性成果
【分类号】：D815

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