乌克兰危机下的俄罗斯政经局势分析

发布时间：2018-06-16 00:54

本文选题：乌克兰危机 + 西方制裁　；参考：《人民论坛·学术前沿》2015年02期

【摘要】：收回克里米亚,俄罗斯举国欢庆,一扫苏联解体以后的自卑感,但也直接恶化了俄罗斯与乌克兰本来就纠葛不清的关系,使俄罗斯面临冷战后最严峻的国际关系危机。在警告、威胁无效的情况下,以美国为首的西方阵营针对俄罗斯出台了一波又一波的制裁措施,长期受自身结构问题制约的俄经济则面临更大的挑战,但影响不是致命的,度过危机期,调整得当,俄罗斯的未来依然可期。而作为俄罗斯最大的贸易伙伴集团,制裁与反制也将使欧盟深受其害。俄罗斯社会的凝聚力在西方制裁中不是下降而是得到了加强。西方指望通过制裁造成俄罗斯的经济困难,以至于引起民心不稳、普京支持率下降乃至政局动荡,恐怕是一厢情愿。
[Abstract]:The resumption of Crimea, the celebration of the Russian nation, swept away the inferiority complex after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, but also directly worsened the already inextricable relations between Russia and Ukraine, making Russia face the most severe crisis in international relations since the Cold War. Warning that the threat is ineffective, the US-led Western camp has issued wave after wave of sanctions against Russia, and the Russian economy, which has long been constrained by its own structural problems, faces greater challenges, but the impact is not fatal. Through the crisis, adjusted properly, Russia's future is still in the future. As Russia's largest trading partner group, sanctions and countermeasures will also hurt the EU. The cohesion of Russian society has been strengthened rather than reduced by Western sanctions. It is wishful thinking that the West hopes sanctions will cause Russia's economic difficulties to the point of destabilising popular sentiment, falling Putin's approval ratings and even political unrest.
【作者单位】：中央编译局俄罗斯研究中心;
【分类号】：D815;D851.2

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