多元启发理论与对外政策决策研究

发布时间：2018-06-16 08:38

  本文选题：多元启发理论 + 对外政策决策　； 参考：《教学与研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：近年来,多元启发理论发展趋势较为迅猛,且已得到大量研究的证实。多元启发理论在认知理论和理性选择理论之间构建了一座桥梁,它认为对外政策决策包含两个加工阶段。第一阶段以维度加工为基础,不满足非补偿性政治维度阈限的方案将被删除;第二阶段以方案加工为基础,对剩余方案进行理性分析,力求将结果的利益最大化,风险最小化。运用多元启发理论开展对外政策决策的研究主要体现在理论应用和理论验证两方面。回顾相关研究发现,多元启发理论过于强调国内政治限制,未来的研究不应忽视决策个体、决策背景、决策任务三方面因素及彼此间的互动。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the multivariate heuristic theory develops rapidly, and has been confirmed by a large number of studies. Multivariate heuristic theory constructs a bridge between cognitive theory and rational choice theory, which holds that foreign policy decision consists of two processing stages. The first stage is based on dimensionality processing, and the scheme which does not satisfy the non-compensatory political dimension threshold will be deleted; the second stage is based on the scheme processing, and carries on rational analysis to the remaining scheme, in order to maximize the benefit of the result and minimize the risk. The research on foreign policy decision based on multivariate heuristic theory is mainly reflected in two aspects: theoretical application and theoretical verification. Reviewing the relevant studies, it is found that the pluralistic heuristic theory emphasizes too much on the domestic political limitation, and the future research should not ignore the three factors of decision making individual, decision background, decision task and the interaction between them.
【作者单位】： 吉林大学行政学院国际政治系;同济大学中国战略研究院;
【基金】：吉林大学青年师生学科交叉培育项目“多元启发理论与对外政策决策研究”(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助);吉林大学哲学社会科学研究重大课题培育项目“国际秩序变革与中国和平发展”(项目号:2015ZDPY18)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D815
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本文编号：2026072