俄罗斯对乌克兰政策视角下的乌克兰危机

发布时间：2018-06-20 15:58

本文选题：俄罗斯 + 俄罗斯对乌克兰政策　；参考：《欧洲研究》2015年03期

【摘要】：苏联解体至今的俄罗斯对乌克兰政策的演变表明,将乌克兰纳入俄罗斯主导的欧亚一体化进程,使之成为俄罗斯实现大国崛起的战略依托,一直是俄罗斯的核心目标,这也是俄罗斯强硬应对乌克兰危机的动因。俄罗斯对乌克兰政策失败的主要原因在于:俄罗斯不能为乌克兰转型提供一种有成效、有吸引力的发展模式;俄罗斯发展模式及其主导的欧亚一体化在与欧盟和北约的竞争中日益失去吸引力。普京政府对乌克兰危机实行"以压促变"的政策,主要目标在于使乌克兰实行联邦制,或者至少中立化。目前看来,乌克兰东部地区局势将向"德左模式"发展。但是摆脱乌克兰危机的可靠出路,只有政治解决一条途径。
[Abstract]:The evolution of Russia's policy towards Ukraine since the disintegration of the Soviet Union shows that bringing Ukraine into the Russian-led Eurasian integration process and making it the strategic backing for Russia to realize the rise of a great power has always been Russia's core goal. This is also the driving force behind Russia's tough response to the crisis in Ukraine. The main reasons for the failure of Russia's policy towards Ukraine are that Russia cannot provide a productive and attractive development model for the transformation of Ukraine; Russia's development model and its dominant Eurasian integration are increasingly unattractive in competition with the EU and NATO. Putin's government's "pressure to change" policy toward Ukraine's crisis is aimed at federalism, or at least neutrality. At present, the situation in eastern Ukraine will develop to the German-left model. But a credible way out of the crisis in Ukraine is only a political solution.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所俄罗斯外交研究室;
【基金】：中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所创新工程项目“中乌战略伙伴关系研究”的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D851.2

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