日本南海政策中的“对冲战略”及其评估——以安倍内阁的对华政策为视角
发布时间：2018-08-06 09:23
【摘要】：安倍内阁上台后,中日关系处在持续低位徘徊、战略信任磨损下行的状态,日本对华政策出现了新特点。除了双边关系加速走向失序和失范之外,在地区层面和多边机制中的博弈和竞争明显上升。日本的南海政策实质上是日本对华政策的重要一环,南海海域成为日本对华实施"对冲战略"的重要地区。"对冲战略"经历了比较低调的"约束性接触"和手段多元的"软制衡"两个阶段,其目的是牵制中国在南海地区影响力的上升,力图维持美日主导的地区政治和安全秩序。日本在南海海域的"对冲战略"一定程度上影响了中国与周边国家的关系,加大了中国的安全压力,但总体遏制效果有限,反而给地区局势带来了紧张和动荡。
[Abstract]:Since Abe's cabinet came to power, Sino-Japanese relations have been hovering at a low level and strategic trust has been wearing down. Japan's China policy has taken on new characteristics. In addition to the bilateral relations, the game and competition in the regional level and multilateral mechanism are obviously rising. Japan's South China Sea policy is essentially an important part of Japan's China policy, and the South China Sea has become an important area for Japan to implement a "hedging strategy" against China. " The hedging strategy has experienced two stages of low-key "binding contacts" and "soft checks and balances", the purpose of which is to contain the rise of China's influence in the South China Sea and to maintain the regional political and security order dominated by the United States and Japan. Japan's "hedging strategy" in the South China Sea has to a certain extent affected China's relations with neighboring countries and increased China's security pressure, but the overall containment effect is limited, on the contrary, it has brought tension and instability to the regional situation.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院;武汉大学国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心;
【分类号】：D822.3;D831.3
[Abstract]:Since Abe's cabinet came to power, Sino-Japanese relations have been hovering at a low level and strategic trust has been wearing down. Japan's China policy has taken on new characteristics. In addition to the bilateral relations, the game and competition in the regional level and multilateral mechanism are obviously rising. Japan's South China Sea policy is essentially an important part of Japan's China policy, and the South China Sea has become an important area for Japan to implement a "hedging strategy" against China. " The hedging strategy has experienced two stages of low-key "binding contacts" and "soft checks and balances", the purpose of which is to contain the rise of China's influence in the South China Sea and to maintain the regional political and security order dominated by the United States and Japan. Japan's "hedging strategy" in the South China Sea has to a certain extent affected China's relations with neighboring countries and increased China's security pressure, but the overall containment effect is limited, on the contrary, it has brought tension and instability to the regional situation.
【作者单位】： 复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院;武汉大学国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心;
【分类号】：D822.3;D831.3
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